Went 1-1 in the NBA yesterday. Just going with one total this evening. Best of luck everyone!

NBA Record: 4-5 (-1.55 Units) on posted NBA picks this season.

Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics (7:30PM CST)
My Pick: Orlando Magic/Boston Celtics Over 198.5 (-110)

Eastern Conference teams facing conference opponents in the fifth game of a playoff series as a road underdog are 13-9 Over/Under (59.1%) when the game isn't played in the daytime and both teams are playing on one day of rest. Of those twenty two games, only two of them failed to reach at least 202 total points (both were in the 2021 season). When those teams were facing non-divisional opponents, that record improves to 10-6 Over/Under (62.5%) with every single game reaching at least 202 total points. When those teams were facing the Celtics, that record improves to 6-1 Over/Under (85.7%) with every single game reaching at least 202 total points. Orlando has faced Boston one time this playoff series as a road underdog in a non-daytime game. That game had a similar total (196.5) and a similar line (11.5) and finished with a final score of 100-109. Orlando has also played two Game 5's as a road underdog in non-daytime games. They went 2-0 Over/Under (100.0%) in those with games totaling 207 and 211. Jaylen Brown is listed as questionable, but he's been like that the previous two games and still played, so I'm banking on him playing tonight. This has been a heavy over spot for teams in the past and I think we'll see the same tonight with it being do-or-die for the Magic. As long as this total is below the 202 mark, I think the over's worth a bet.