1-1 last game with the Under narrowly missing. Onto the next!
Boston Celtics -4; Few things I noticed about game 3 fuel this choice. The rebounding differential was incredible. Warriors had 31 total to the Celtic's 47, which means they excelled at one intangible stat on the court, effort. Boston won the turnover battle 12 to 16 as well. They played better as a team, played better defensively, and got the majority of 50-50 balls for extra possessions. Curry is the last flicker of hope for this Warriors squad, and with his health uncertain for game 4, I feel like the Celtics have a decisive advantage in this game.
Warriors/Celtics Total Under 214; We saw an incredible shooting performance in the first half, both teams lit it up in the first half, with a pace rating over 100 for both teams, as well as 50+% shooting from the arc yet again. The pace slowed way down in the second half as defense became a bigger focus, this is where most off the turnovers occurred and the shooting cooled off a bit. As this series slugs on, I think we get more defensive adjustments and play, coupled with the fact that Curry may not be 100%, and no way we have as many fouls as game 3, this points heavily towards the under for me.
*Also* There are some good opportunities for 1Q/1H Celtics, as well as 3Q Warriors this game, and I might try to make quarter to quarter bets here, with smaller unit sizes.
Good luck everyone