539 Mavericks (-2) over Grizzlies
The Mavs are in control of their own destiny to stay out of the play in tournament with 4 games left they need 2 wins to finish the season with the 6th seed or better. I think the Mavs also have motivation to finish in the 5th seed to matchup with the Nuggets in a playoff series that will be without their 2nd best player in Jamal Murray and would be an easier opponent to beat rather than finishing in the 6th seed to matchup with the Clippers again. The Mavs are asks expected to be without Kristaps Porzingis but they’re used to playing without him and they’re expected to have Maxi Kleber back and Kleber has been more impactful than Porzingis with a +3.5 on/off court net rating compared to Porzingis’ -5.2. The Grizzlies are also up against a tough scheduling spot playing the 2nd end of a back to back and their 3rd game in 4 days so I expect them to continue to struggle offensively as their offense ranks 4th worst in eFG% and 7th worst offensive rating in their last 10 games will now have to deal with playing with tired legs.