716 Rockets (+5) over Lakers
Seems like the market has given up on the Rockets as majority of the tickets and money are coming in on the Lakers but this series still feels and looks to be closer than what people think. For the series the Rockets are shooting 45% from the field 34% from 3 and averaging 44 rebounds/game while the Lakers are shooting 48% from the field 34% from 3 and averaging 45.7 rebounds/game. The Rockets lost Games 2 and 3 in the 4th quarter but they either carried a lead going into the 4th quarter or the game was tied so the biggest adjustment I think they’ll make is how to be more effective in the 4th quarter. Another factor why I’m on the Rockets is there has been 60 playoff games so far and only 8 times has an underdog covered the spread but didn’t win the game outright (13.3%) so if you like an underdog in the playoffs you should like them to win outright and the Rockets are at their best in the underdog role as they are 8-5 ATS as underdogs with +11.74 units as money line underdogs. Also the Lakers may be getting majority of the tickets and money when it comes to the spread but the Rockets are getting majority of tickets and money on the money line so I like the Rockets to cover the spread and tie the series up.