1. Under 212 Boston/Toronto.
We all know Game 5, 6, 7 of a series is normally lower scoring because the teams are pretty familiar with one another by that time... These two teams are very familiar with one another. They're division rivals and they have played each other 8 times already going 2/6 O/U... with 6 straight unders... Game 4 went way under... But let's look at that...
Toronto scored 100 points in game 4 and shot 39% from 3...17/44...will Toronto shoot like this in game 5... Probably not... Serge Ibaka shot 100% from 3...going 4/4... He's also been shooting 55% from 3 in these playoffs...18/33... He's also 100% from the free throw line in these playoffs...11/11...Will he continue to shoot lights out from 3 and Free throws...not no but Hell no...
Boston will shoot better from 3 this game, they shot 20%...7/35 in Game 4...
I say all of that to say look at how well Toronto played offensively but only scored 100 points... Boston could put up 110 or 111 today and the game in my opinion will still go under...
Both of these teams are great defensively If you want to know how great, Smoove did a write-up on Game 4 under you can check that out...
My only concern is Brad Stevens may want to speed up the offense because the multiple defensive looks that the Raptors are giving Boston especially the zone in the half court is causing problems for them. The question is does he really want to do that because the Raptors want to play fast, they are the #1 team in the NBA in a fast break points. They would love to play a 125-120 Game...
Both of these teams have been under teams throughout the playoffs...
Boston 1/7 O/U 6 straight unders. Toronto 2/6 O/U... Toronto is averaging 100 points in this series... Boston is averaging 103... Now if you're wondering where Vegas is getting the 212 from, If you look at all eight matchups... Boston averaging 108 and Toronto 103... Plus the factor that I said earlier that Brad Stevens may want to speed the game up.
I have this Total pegged at 205, so I believe we're getting tremendous value.
Final score 105-98...