732 Rockets (-5.5) over Thunder
Even though this series is tied 3-3 and going to Game 7 I don’t think these teams are as close as the series would indicate. The Rockets have the better offensive, defensive and net rating between the 2 teams and have the better player in the series in Harden. Rockets also own a significant edge in MOV with a +20.6 in their 3 wins while the Thunder have a +6 MOV. Give credit to the Thunder for getting 3 wins and forcing Game 7 but in every win they have Houston has played a role into contributing some help for them to get those wins whether it was botching the out of bounds play at the end of Game 3, Houston letting up after going up 15 points in the 2nd half of Game 5 or recently in Game 6 with to many turnovers at crucial points of the game and letting the Thunder hang around and having a shot late. I expect Houston to be locked in from the tip and will be looking for a few offensive spurts in the 2nd half to separate from OKC that their last place offensive rated offense won’t be able to come back from.