542 Bucks (-8.5) over 76ers
This will be the 3rd matchup between these teams with both teams getting a win on their home court and it matters more for the 76ers to be at home more than the Bucks. On the road the 76ers are just covering 37% of the time and are 9-19 SU that ranks among the bottom of the league with some of the worst teams while the Bucks are not only the best team in the league they’re very dominant at home with a 25-3 SU record and covering 50% of their games at home with a +13.1 point differential. In the matchup the 76ers won the 3 point line was the difference as well as being at home. They hit 8 more 3s than the Bucks and also hit 7 more 3s than they did in the matchup the Bucks won at home but it didn’t matter as the Bucks won by 11 as 10.5 point home favorites. The 76ers are 1-6 ATS on the road in their last 7 games vs Eastern conference playoff teams with a point differential of -11.5. The 76ers did add a couple players that’s been good for them when they’ve been on the court in Alec Burks and Glenn Robinson III but I don’t think it will be much impact against the best team in the league. Also in their last game they managed to get down by 20 to the Nets while being at home and if that happens with the Bucks I don’t see them coming back. 76ers are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as road underdogs and 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs teams with a winning percentage of 60% or better at home and they’re 1-4 ATS their last 5 games in Milwaukee. Bucks are 6-0 ATS their last 6 games as favorites and 6-1 ATS their last 7 games overall.