572 Mavs (-3) over Nuggets
The Mavs are the better playing team coming into this matchup and back on 10/29 the Mavs got the win as a 3.5 point road dog with Luka only hitting 3 of his 12 shots and now he’s in a great rhythm as he’s coming off another 30+ point triple-double. Nuggets are currently in the 2nd seed but they’re not as strong on the road being only a couple games over .500 with a +2 point differential. Over the last 3 years the Mavs are only 3-8 SU but 6-5 ATS vs the Nuggets. Nuggets are 2-6-1 ATS last 9 in Dallas and 2-6 ATS last 8 matchups with Mavs.