536 Rockets (-10) over Suns
The Rockets are coming off an impressive win against another top team in the league that owns a top 10 defense with James Harden only getting up 11 shots due to being double teamed all game and Russell Westbrook shooting under 40% but still winning by 10 on the road. This team is the most difficult to guard and prepare for because the offense is so elite and they have a number of different guys that can knock down shots consistently and they’re not even healthy yet. They’ve also improved defensively since the first week of the season. Over the last week or so the Rockets own the 1st rated offense (122.8), 10th rated defense (107.3) and 3rd best net rating (15.5). Also over the last 3 games the Rockets have a point differential of +17.6 while the Suns have a point differential of -1. The Suns also allow teams to shoot 37% from 3 and that’s not good for them while the Rockets attempt the most 3s per game. Suns are also at a disadvantage with this being their 3rd game in 4 nights so I’m expecting tired legs at a crucial part of the game and for the Rockets to take advantage. The Suns are 0-5 ATS last 5 games after a ATS win while the Rockets are 6-1 ATS last 7 home games.