this is my quick reasoning on why the Under might be the play, but curious what you all think:
later in the series, games 5,6,7... tend to skew under.
Durant comeback: we know it's hard to cap due to a lot of unknown, but even if he's "fine" and has a great game, their offense is much slower running ISO's with Durant. then when he gets breathers, maybe GSW feels disjointed offensively going back to their non-durant flow they had gotten used to. so, again even if plays well their offense could still slow down and/or suffer overall. also, even if he's not 100%, it will certainly help GSW's defense to have him playing vs not playing. desperation mode obvsiously we "should" get mad effort on D from the Warriors.
Toronto has a great D playing at home with confidence. But offensively some pressure on Toronto to close it out and win tonight... maybe guys are tight and dont shoot the lights out, or just the pace slows down a bit as the season is on the line.
total moved up a few points, never know if that's truly "smart money" or sharps or just vegas moving the line cuz of volume on the Over. kinda doesn't matter? should we just grab the under and hold on for dear life?
would love to hear all your thoughts on tonight's total. let's step on the bookie's throats before the season ends!