since now I also Beastmode is on that CHI/PHX over as well, figured i'd share this. It wont put me off, i'm still taking the over... this is just one guy's opinion from the Action Network. since we're quick to share stats/trends in our favor figure we should give fair warning to the other said. either way, i'll still roll with the over.
anyway, hope this guy is wrong:
Monday NBA Staff Favorite Bets
Ken Barkley: Under 228 in Bulls-Suns
I can’t believe I’m diving deep into this game, but that’s what happens with the NBA in March.
For each team, this is a dreadful fatigue spot. Chicago’s on a West Coast swing, playing on a back-to-back and its third game in four nights on the road. The Suns are on their third game in four nights as well, returning home after two crazy games at Houston and New Orleans.
This part of the busy schedule has hit Phoenix on the injury report, where Tyler Johnson and Kelly Oubre are both questionable. T.J. Warren remains out as well. Oubre in particular is problematic because he plays a ton of minutes and is a relatively high-usage player. His absence or limited play should restrict Phoenix’s offense to some degree.
The rest of the angle on the under here is pretty straightforward. These are not teams that have been particularly adept offensively, nor are they teams that have fast offensive time-of-possession stats in the second half of the season.
In fact, they’re quite average. Some of the Bulls’ scores are gaudy because they are playing teams that are so much better, they can score at will. But in terms of this game, based on each team’s profile you’re going to get an average pace with a lot of very inefficient possessions. That is not necessarily conducive to scoring.
With each team having nothing to play for whatsoever and in such bad rest situations, I think you could also see a lot of minutes going to players who are incredibly unproductive (especially if Oubre sits). Despite that, this total almost demands the game be competitive and played at a relatively fast pace. I don’t buy that we’ll see that here, and I’m taking the under.