Warriors -5 over Blazers
Like the Warriors in this matchup. I think they have a couple points worth of value in this spot plus the Blazers seem to be a team they have owned over the recent years. The Warriors have a better offense per 100 possessions (2nd) vs. Blazers defense per 100 possessions (10th) and the Warriors have a better defense per 100 possessions (8th) vs. the Blazers offense per 100 possessions (13th) so I like my chances taking the side that has the better offense and defense in the matchup.
Warriors and Blazers have played 8 times over the last 3 years in Portland and the Warriors have covered 5 (62%) of those 8 games and won 6 (75%) of those 8 games straight up by an average margin of victory of 7 points. Warriors have won and covered 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup. Also the road team in this matchup has won and covered 4 of the last 5 matchups.
BOL!