TAMPA -180

I think this is a good spot to fade the Senators.  Albeit vs a difficult schedule, they're dead last in 5v5 goals in the last 10 games and they've been shut out 5 times in January. They seeeeem to be playing well in the last 10 with a 7-2-1 record, but according to their Xgoals differential they only should've won 3.

Now for Tampa. I'm not going to put lipstick on a pig with them. They've been mediocre recently. I'm putting blind faith in their home ice advantage and Senators' fatigue. It's 80 degrees in Tampa tomorrow. I'm betting Sens go into vacation mode. 

Situation
TAM - 2 days rest 
TAM - Off loss that they "should've" won according to MonkeyPuck's DTWOM. 
OTT - B2B with travel
OTT - 3 in 4 days

50 picks this year +796
last 20 -141

Honestly thought this one would come out like -160 but I have no self control and had to rip it.