TAMPA -148 Draftkings

Since 2022, Tampa is #1 in "real" home ice advantage. Boston happpens to be terrible on the road. See below. 

Per inpredicatables betting market ratings, this is an 11 vs 14 matchup. I think this is off in both directions. Tampa is better than 11, and Boston is worse than 14. Tampa is 4th in goal differential vs very tough opponents. BootyCheekBruins are 29th vs an easy schedule.

TAM - 4th home goal differential
BOS - 30th road goal differential

Season goal differential
TAM - 4th vs 2nd toughest schedule
BOS - 29th vs 23rd toughest schedule

Last 10 goal differential
TAM - 11th 
BOS - 25th