Jets -166 DKings
If you look at the season long data, these teams are close. This is mostly a bet on rested WPG vs fatigued Minny. One matchup angle I like is on special teams. Jets are 1st in Power Play% and the Wild are 30th in Kill%.
According to a home ice study, the Jets rank 3rd in home - road margin. The Wild rank 2nd in home - road margin. That should present value backing Jets at home and fading Wild on the road.
Jets are 2-0 H2H vs Wild this year. 2 for 5 on their power play.
Situation
- WPG 2 days rest
- MIN Back to Back with travel
- MIN lose 1 hr time going east
Offense 5v5 SVA
- WPG 2.44 gpg (16th), 19th expected
- MIN 2.45 gpg (15th), 26th expected
Defense 5v5 SVA
- WPG 1.97 gpg (4th), 21st expected
- MIN 1.79 gpg (1st), 1st expected
This is a little pricey. Only doing 1unit play.