BLUE JACKETS 11/27 - Hockey - Forums

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samfischette

Joined: 11/17/2023

Posts: 193

Waterboy

0 - 249 Posts

Posted: 11/26/2024 6:26 AM

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#1

Columbus Blue Jackets -200 or less (no line posted)

Looking to stay hot on the forums! In the last 10 games, CBJ is #1 in the NHL in 5v5 expected goal differential and #1 in expected goals. What is notable about that is 7/10 of those games were on the road. This season CBJ has played the 10th most difficult schedule, while MON has played an average schedule. Despite that, CBJ puts more pucks in the net. I really want to back an underrated CBJ team vs a tired and soft defense. RIP Johnny <3.

Situation
- MON B2B with travel
- CBJ 3 days rest
- CBJ no travel since 11/18

Offense 5v5
- CBJ 3.08 gpg (4th), 2.82 Xgpg (5th)
- MON 2.33 gpg (19th), 2.43 Xgpg (19th)

Defense 5v5
- CBJ 3.02 gpg (29th), 2.56 Xgpg (22nd)
- MON 3.56 gpg (last), 3.01 Xgpg (31st)

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MegaHopped

Joined: 10/02/2020

Posts: 430

Practice Squad

250 - 499 Posts

Posted: 11/26/2024 10:38 AM

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#2

Thanks for the info Sam! Good stuff.
What do you think about the CBJ team total angle? A cheaper way to probably get you there. Jackets +105 over 3.5 goals. Cayden Primeau has been giving up the goals and CBJ wins have seen them score 5,7,5, and 6 in the last 4 wins. This is also a revenge spot at home for the Jackets who lost to the Habs 10 days ago.

samfischette

Joined: 11/17/2023

Posts: 193

Waterboy

0 - 249 Posts

Posted: 11/26/2024 11:21 AM

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#3

I should've noted previous h2h! good call out.

Yea my buddy is taking TT over when I sent him this.

I dont know if rest factors impact defense or offense more. All I know is that rest factors matter. If I could prove lack of rest impacts defense MORE, then i'd certainly be playing the CJC TT over.