PLAYOFFS 7-3 (+2.40 units)
Didn’t understand the move to Fleury last night in net but it certainly was a factor in the total and cost me a winning night…Probably should wait till later in the day to post but mornings are my free time. On to tonight.
1* TB/TOR Under 6.5 -125 …. If the Lightning weren’t down 1 or 2 D-MEN I would push this to a 2* … I expect Hedman will probably be a go , Cernak is a definite scratch …Over 7-2 the L9 between the 2 however only one of those games exceeded 7..and besides the opening game of the series the L2 north of the border were both Unders 4-1 and 2-1 … Leafs need to stay out of the sin bin as the Lightning power play accounted for 4 of their goals in the opening game..Leafs 3-0-1 to the Under after a home defeat of 3 or more goals …also 13-3 straight up under the same circumstances…Leafs 24-16 to the Under with 1 days rest …I look for a highly motivated Toronto team to put a huge effort in tonight as they find themselves in a very similar spot as the Oilers last night ….LEAFS 4-2
1* NYR/NJ Under 6.5 -170 (alt total) …paying the huge juice here as I think the EN could make it 6 but I don’t think it gets to 7 …Devils in a must win situation and will be Defense first tonight..In game one they were victim to a pair of PP goals and an EN to push it over the total of 5.5 ..Rangers 7-1-1 to the Under the L9 on one days rest…Prior to giving up a 5 spot to the Rangers in Game 1 , the Devils had only surrendered 5 goals in total in their previous 4 home games …They have a 2.62 GA average at home this season while the Rangers have a better GA average on the road (2.45) than at home…another game I draw parallels to the Edmonton game last night as I like the Under but if it goes over it’s because of the home team (Devils) lighting the lamp ..NJ 3-2
1* SEA/COL Over 5.5 -125….Everything points to UNDER in this game as the two have played to 5 straight Unders …But I just think this game is the Avs stepping up and lighting the lamp ..prior to game 1 they had scored 33 goals in their previous 8 games….Defensively I think the break helped Colorado, Offensively I think they needed the game to get back on track ..they are 4-1-1 to the over the L6 when playing with 1 days rest…with the first game under they pushed the total from 6 down to 5.5 a spot the Kraken are 4-2 to the Over this season…Avs get it going in a big way tonight in Denver…AVS 5-2
2* WIN/VEG Under 6 -145 …almost bought up to 6.5 -185 but I figured one huge juice was enough for the night …Winnipeg 5-4-1 to the Under the last 10 games , funny thing is , is that in the 4 Overs they won the game and pushed the total over themselves outscoring their opponents 23-6…In the 5 Unders there were a total of 18 goals scored (3.6 GPG)….Vegas under 10-2 to the Under after a loss of 3 goals or more…I look for Vegas to be highly focused tonight to even the series …I don’t have to worry about them being disciplined as they are the least penalized team in the league …GK’s even the series in Vegas….GK’s 3-1
AS ALWAYS GOOD LUCK !!!