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Games 1 and 2 went over and now the total has gone down. That should tell you which side the books want you to bet.
I think the Lightning have to be motivated and will play better defense in front of their home crowd. I also suspect that the altitude might have gotten to a team that normally plays at sea level.
The Aves had more than 10 shots on goal more than the Lightning in games 1 and 2 and I found this trend:https://sportsdatabase.com/NHL/query.html?sdql=S%28ou+margin%3E0%29%2C+S%28ou+margin%3C0%29+%40+series+game%3E2+and+p%3Asite+%3Daway+and+pp%3Asite%3Daway+and+site%3Dhome+and+p%3Ashots+on+goal%2B10%3Cpo%3Ashots+on+goal+and+pp%3Ashots+on+goal%2B10+%3C+ppo%3Ashots+on+goal&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++
There are a few shops in Colorado still offering -121. I could only get $500 down at Betrivers, but have more bets totaling $1K.
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