I just can't back them. I thought the Flames were one of the postseason fakers (Panthers take that cake), but I think almost losing to the Stars scared them straight. They have a great team and they should be performing better than they did in the first round. And gosh, haven't they now? If trends mean anything right now, the home team is 6-0 in the last six meetings and the favorite is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
When the Oilers haven't played any defense all season and have always had goaltending issues, plus the fact that they have a top-heavy lineup without much depth, I just can't back them, at least while not at home, which is an advantage they need.
But you know what you are talking about. I wish you good luck!