Hawks vs. Avs Over 6 Goals -120
I'm a bit surprised this line isn't 6.5 and it will probably move in that direction. A couple of trends go in the under situation but even with weighing that, I still like the over, and at least with a great chance to cover six.
Avs have the #1 scoring offense and average 4.15 goals per game and allow an average of 3.03 goals per game, ranking 19th. But the Hawks allow an average of 3.27 goals per game, ranking 22nd.
Colorado's last seven home games finished over four times with two pushes, and finished over in 32 of their last 51 overall.
These two teams love to beat up on each other and score a lot of goals. The over has finished in four of their last six matchups with one push.
The Avs also scored only nine goals in their past three games so they could be salivating over this home matchup.
Each of the Avs' last seven night games against the Western Conference at home have gone over the total goal line.
With the over six at -120, I find it to be a better value than laying the -1.5 PL with the Avs at -125 currently. Just sit back and enjoy the scoring from both sides.
Fleury does not have a bad career record against the Avs but the last time these two teams played he was in net and the game ended 4-3 with an OT win for Colorado.
I'm posting trends from both sides so we can take everything into account.
Over is 5-0-1 in Blackhawks last 6 vs. Central
Under is 4-0-1 in Avalanche last 5 games following a win
Over is 4-0-1 in Blackhawks last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600
Under is 4-0 in Avalanche last 4 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 days situation
Under is 4-0 in Blackhawks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest
Over is 3-0-1 in Avalanche last 4 Monday games