Not my usual analysis, the NFL thread is taking some time each day.
I'm going to make this super easy. It's a 3 horse race. ESPECIALLY, if it's an off track. Weather is predicted to be showers and thunderstorms, with strong, gusty winds. Temperature around 90 degrees. So, hot and muggy.
Going back the last 20 runnings, we find this:
65% winners had Dosage Index of 3.00 or higher (speed)
25% winners had Dosage Index of 2.00 to 2.90 (even balance)
10% winners had Dosage Index of under 2.00 (stamina)
The winners running style was 40% stalker, 25% wire to wire, 20% from far back and 15% mid-packers who methodically moved up to catch the leader(s) down the stretch.
Three of the 20 races were raced over an off track. The three winners all had D.I. of over 3.00
Baffert has won this race 9 of the last 20 times. He's suspended.
80% winners (16 of the last 20) have had Mares Stamina, which was dominant on the female side.
It pains me to tell you, no surprises in this race. It's a 3 horse race, the 3 favorites. Hot Rod Charlie at 6/5, Mandaloun at 2-1 and Following Sea at 3-1. Hot Rod Charlie gets the most check marks, he should win.
I'm not betting it and won't even say "you shouldn't either". Watch the exacta's with these 3, maybe something decent will show up.
Going to look at the Sanford Stakes now and will post when finished.