Each week, an elite group of bookmakers and professional bettors provide Pregame.com with their private power rankings. These numbers literally influence the worldwide sports betting market and together form the Vegas Rankings. Four categories convey what the “experts in the desert” truthfully think about the teams:
TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.
HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.
BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.
POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.
To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:
Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).
To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:
Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.
CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 7
|
|
|
Hm
Field
|
TRUE
Power
|
Bettor
Bias
|
Spread
Power
|
|
1
|
Alabama
|
5
|
100
|
2.5
|
102.5
|
|
2
|
Oregon
|
6
|
97
|
1.5
|
98.5
|
|
3
|
Florida State
|
4
|
93.5
|
0
|
93.5
|
|
4
|
LSU
|
5
|
92.5
|
0
|
92.5
|
|
t5
|
Florida
|
5
|
91.5
|
0
|
91.5
|
|
t5
|
South Carolina
|
4.5
|
91.5
|
0.5
|
92
|
|
t7
|
Texas
|
4.5
|
91
|
0
|
91
|
|
t7
|
West Virginia
|
5
|
91
|
0
|
91
|
|
t7
|
Oklahoma
|
5
|
91
|
0
|
91
|
|
t7
|
USC
|
4.5
|
91
|
0.5
|
91.5
|
|
11
|
Kansas State
|
4.5
|
90.5
|
0
|
90.5
|
|
t12
|
Georgia
|
5
|
89
|
0
|
89
|
|
t12
|
Notre Dame
|
4
|
89
|
0
|
89
|
|
t14
|
Oklahoma State
|
4.5
|
87
|
0
|
87
|
|
t14
|
Ohio State
|
5
|
87
|
0.5
|
87.5
|
|
16
|
Clemson
|
5
|
86.5
|
0
|
86.5
|
|
17
|
Michigan
|
4.5
|
85.5
|
0
|
85.5
|
|
t18
|
Nebraska
|
4.5
|
85
|
0
|
85
|
|
t18
|
Stanford
|
4.5
|
85
|
0
|
85
|
|
t18
|
Texas A&M
|
4.5
|
85
|
0
|
85
|
|
t21
|
Arizona State
|
4
|
83.5
|
0
|
83.5
|
|
t21
|
North Carolina
|
4
|
83.5
|
0
|
83.5
|
|
23
|
Oregon State
|
4
|
83
|
0
|
83
|
|
24
|
Michigan State
|
4.5
|
82.5
|
0
|
82.5
|
|
25
|
Mississippi State
|
3.5
|
82
|
0
|
82
|
Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).
RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com - Follow on twitter: @RJinVegas