First half OVER 29.5 -115 **
feel free to fade as I’ve been treading water, but wanted to give some thoughts.
my initial reaction is to go over in this game as Iowa state as shown a problem stopping teams on the road. 2 if the best def players in the nation (Rose and McDonald) each missed one of those games that hurt IsU because they aren’t super talented in the secondary.
the tape is out on Williams, keep him in the pocket and force him to pass. The question is whether this Iowa state D will do that as I expect some wrinkles from Lincoln Riley.
Ive said this multiple times but I really don’t like Purdy in the clutch and red zone. Never seems to make the right read or get in the end zone, but Hall does. Purdy is one of the best at short to intermediate throwers and I expect them to move the ball. Iowa state is slow…slow to start seasons and in games. Can’t do that today so I would expect a little more fire and establish themselves. We also know the D clamps down at half. I expect some scoring every and then slowly develop into a defensive battle in the second half.
OU is 100 in def YPP, ISU 29th
Def red zone attempts:
OU 102 ISU 16th - expect but plays from OU and sustained drives from ISU
will look at second half under is this goes as I see it.
oklshoma state -10 -110 **
probably bigger bet closer to game time. OSU is what ISU was expected to be. Best team in the conference, same spread as last week so value on OK ST, plus now the beet D in the conference has film of the fresh QB for Tech. Expect Tech to struggle much more and OK ST to roll.
all the best to everyone
32-26