149 Duke (+11) vs Virginia
Virginia is coming off a nice comeback win against Louisville last week but they were down by 17 points late in the 2nd half and Duke is coming off a loss to Georgia Tech but they out gained Georgia Tech and won the turnover battle so I think the final score was a little misleading. I also think Virginia’s defense is not good enough to cover a number this big and Duke should be able to score and stay within this number. Virginia opened as a 11 point favorite getting 8 out of 10 tickets but the line moved towards Duke so I like the sharp reverse line movement spot for the Blue Devils.
169 BYU (+6) vs Baylor
This line opened as Baylor being 4.5 point favorites and has been bet up to 6.5 so I like getting the points with BYU. BYU has a solid win against Arizona St while I don’t think Baylor has a solid win yet this season and even though BYU lost last week to Boise St they committed 4 turnovers, had 9 penalties and still managed to out gain Boise St by 100 yards so I expect a bounce back performance as BYU is comfortable playing P5 teams.
173 Oklahoma St (+4.5) vs Texas
Texas coming off a devastating loss last week to Oklahoma in the red river rivalry as they were up by 21 points in the 1st quarter and had a 11 point lead going into the 4th quarter. Texas had a big offensive day gaining over 500 yards of offense and scoring 48 points but Oklahoma’s defense was able to keep them under control in the 2nd half to only 10 points and I think Oklahoma State defense is better than Oklahoma. OSU is also coming off a bye week having more time to prepare while Texas is coming off a huge rivalry loss so they could start the game flat allowing OSU to take advantage early.
181 Purdue (+12) vs Iowa*
I think Iowa was very fortunate to pull the upset off last week against Penn State as their starting QB left the game when they had a 14 point lead and didn’t return and Penn State was only able to get a field goal for the rest of the game with their backup QB. Iowa has a great defense but so does Purdue while going up against some solid offenses in Notre Dame, Minnesota and Illinois. Purdue is also coming off their bye week with more time to prepare while Iowa is coming off a big upset win. This is also a low total with a high spread with Iowa getting 7 out of 10 tickets but the line movement is towards Purdue so I like the Boilermakers in a sharp spot with reverse line movement.
194 Tennessee (+2.5) vs Mississippi
Tennessee has shown they can put up points and move the ball with Hendon Hooker as the starting QB as he’s completing 69% of his passes with a 9.5 YPA and 13:1 TD:INT ratio. He also has the 11th best QBR in the country so I think this game could be a lot like the Mississippi vs Arkansas game and Mississippi was fortunate to come out of that game with a win due to a blown coverage late by Arkansas and them failing to convert on the 2PT conversion try.