UTSA +3 @ Memphis – A balanced UTSA team that already won at Illinois should beat a Memphis team that benefited from some bad referee work last week.
FIU @ Central Michigan -11.5 – One of the best head coaches at the Group of Five level, yes, he flamed out in the spotlight of Florida, is making CMU into a top team in the Group of Five. FIU has a win against LIU, one of the worst teams in FCS, a loss to Texas State and a blow out against Texas Tech. I think we’re getting points due to CMU’s in and out game (they flew in the morning of the game and flew out immediately afterward) at LSU.
Texas A&M vs. Arkansas UNDER 47– A game between two of the top four defenses in the SEC. Both teams may be missing starters on the offensive line.
New Mexico @ UTEP +1 – Everyone saw UTEP get housed by Boise State but they actually moved the ball against the Broncos but 6 turnovers did them in.
Ohio +14.5 @ Northwestern – Ohio has moved the ball against Syracuse and Louisiana. The Wildcats are a mess and this spread is way too high.
Missouri -1.5 @ Boston College – I realize that Missouri is 2-1 with a loss to Kentucky and BC is undefeated. I would take Central Michigan, who the Tigers beat by 10, over any of BC’s opponents (Colgate, UMass and Temple). By the way, BC’s is starting its second team QB due to injury.
Games under consideration
Boise State -9 @ Utah State – Utah State is 3-0 while Boise State is a disappointing 1-2. The Broncos have lost to UCF and Oklahoma State while Utah State has played the likes of Washington State and Air Force. I think the Broncos will look to score early and often after being shut out in the second half last week.
UAB +3.5 @ Tulane – Bill Clark may be the best head coach in the Group of Five. Sure, Tulane has lost to two ranked teams (Oklahoma and Ole Miss) but their only win is against winless Morgan State. It’s going be tough for the Green Wave after getting completely thrashed by Ole Miss last week.
Louisiana @ Georgia Southern +14 – Georgia Southern is getting some players back and should be closer to full strength. The Rajin’ Cajuns won this game 20-18 at home last season. I think karma might bite Louisiana here for running up the score against Ohio last week.
Nebraska +5 @ Michigan State – I’m still not a believer in Sparty. I think that they showed us that Miami stink and Northwestern stinks. Nebraska may be getting things going with a good showing against Oklahoma last week.
West Virginia @ Oklahoma -17 – Sure, the Sooners let up on Tulane and Nebraska played them close. Nebraska may actually be improving under Scott Frost. I like what Neal Brown is doing at WVU but the Mountaineers QB is struggling and you don’t hang with Oklahoma when that’s going on.