Oklahoma -16.5 -110 **
I believe this is the perfect spot for OU. They are 8-3 ATS last 11, but have failed to cover two big lines against Tulane and Nebraska. The general thought is OU isn't as good as their preseason projection.
Side note/tangent: The Big 12 is and has turned into a defensive conference, but everyone is still stuck in the perception from years ago.
OU has Grinch and turned them around last half of last season
ISU and their 3-3-5 stack
Gundy has changed into a defensive coach and ball control
TCU and patterson always good on D, with some years better than others
Baylor also using the 3-3-5 and now has Aranda.
WVU D is stingy, especially at home
Point is, just because OU hasn't blown teams out by 40 every game doesn't mean they aren't good/great. They took their foot off the gas against Tulane and I think they got Nebraska's A ++ game. Nebraska D isn't bad.
Ok, all that said to say that perception is at it's lowest of the season for OU and WVU just beat their rival Va tech for the first time in awhile. They are also very tough at home. Now, they go on the road with their perception on the upswing. Still, they turned it over 4 times against Maryland and threw a pick late against Tech that could've meant the ball game. WVY is 0-5-1 ATS last 6 vs OU. OU wins by 20+
Iowa -23 -110 **
Short and sweet, it's the same line against Kent State. I think Kent State is the better compared to Colorado St. Colorado St. is also coming off a win in which it seemed everyone was on Toledo. Turned into a perfect letdown spot for Toledo after losing to ND.
Co. St is 1-5 ATS overall
Co. St is 1-5 ATS on the road
Iowa is 5-0 ATS
Iowa wins this more comfortably than last week
Kent State +14.5 -110 **
Following the same thinking as above. Kent State has played Texas A&M and Iowa. Two top ten programs and two of the better defenses in the country. Maryland isn't close to that level. While Maryland has some firepower on offense, I don't believe they can shut down this Kent State offense. When you look at the box score for Kent vs Iowa, they had a fumble on the IA 1 after a long drive when it was 7-16. Could've been 14-16 and been a game. Also, what would this Kent State perception be if they were 3-0 ATS rather than 1-2? Half point non cover to IA and 1.5 point non cover to A&M.
This is too many points for Maryland to cover against a good offense. Don't be surprised if this is like W Mich or Fresno in which the underdog has a chance to win outright.
I'll dive deeper into Iowa State/Baylor if I play. I saw it go from 7, to 6.5 to 7.5 so think it will stay around that key number of 7.
Was ready to jump on K-State, and Texas Tech, but both lines dropped. Now I will stop and think more intently about if either is still the correct side.
Strong lean to UNLV +32. Fresno off a huge win, in which their QB got hurt. Could definitely see the public loving Fresno hear and UNLV keeping it within 4 scores. (Also, same spread as ISU, suggesting Fresno is as good as ISU. Not sure that is the case.)
10-7 ATS in CFB to date
All the best this week folks