These updated power ratings of mine are basically a Vegas rating as I would favor Ohio St over any other team in the country. In order to come up with a line on any game, all you have to do is subtract the two teams' power ratings and add around 3-points for home field advantage. For example, Baylor is at Kansas this week. Baylor's power rating is 79.91 while Kansas' is 63.03. On a neutral field, Baylor is about 17-points better according to my power ratings. However, if you give Kansas around 3-points of home field advantage, my power rating on the game is around Baylor by 14 and that is close to where the current line on the game is.
I hope these ratings are just another handicapping tool you can use in prepping for the upcoming season.
Best of luck,
Brad
Rank |
Team |
This Week |
Last Week |
Preseason |
Diff |
1 |
Ohio State |
101.60 |
101.60 |
88.60 |
13.0 |
2 |
Clemson |
101.03 |
101.03 |
99.54 |
1.5 |
3 |
LSU |
96.95 |
96.95 |
90.95 |
6.0 |
4 |
Georgia |
92.51 |
93.01 |
93.01 |
-0.5 |
5 |
Alabama |
92.40 |
92.40 |
99.90 |
-7.5 |
6 |
Utah |
90.68 |
89.68 |
81.68 |
9.0 |
7 |
Michigan |
89.92 |
88.42 |
89.42 |
0.5 |
8 |
Oklahoma |
89.67 |
90.67 |
89.67 |
0.0 |
9 |
Auburn |
88.42 |
88.42 |
86.93 |
1.5 |
10 |
Florida |
87.70 |
87.70 |
86.70 |
1.0 |
11 |
Oregon |
87.43 |
89.43 |
84.43 |
3.0 |
12 |
Penn State |
87.12 |
87.12 |
83.62 |
3.5 |
13 |
Wisconsin |
86.20 |
86.20 |
81.71 |
4.5 |
14 |
Notre Dame |
85.81 |
84.31 |
86.31 |
-0.5 |
15 |
Texas A&M |
83.75 |
83.25 |
84.75 |
-1.0 |
16 |
Minnesota |
83.07 |
82.57 |
78.57 |
4.5 |
17 |
Iowa State |
81.87 |
82.37 |
79.87 |
2.0 |
18 |
Iowa |
81.13 |
82.13 |
81.13 |
0.0 |
19 |
Baylor |
79.91 |
78.91 |
76.92 |
3.0 |
20 |
Washington |
79.69 |
81.69 |
82.69 |
-3.0 |
21 |
UCF |
78.81 |
79.31 |
77.31 |
1.5 |
22 |
USC |
77.64 |
77.14 |
79.14 |
-1.5 |
23 |
Memphis |
77.53 |
75.53 |
74.53 |
3.0 |
24 |
Indiana |
77.19 |
78.19 |
74.19 |
3.0 |
25 |
Washington State |
76.78 |
77.78 |
78.78 |
-2.0 |
26 |
TCU |
76.68 |
76.18 |
78.18 |
-1.5 |
27 |
Boise State |
76.55 |
75.05 |
76.55 |
0.0 |
28 |
Virginia Tech |
76.48 |
74.98 |
78.98 |
-2.5 |
29 |
Oklahoma State |
76.38 |
77.88 |
78.38 |
-2.0 |
30 |
Texas |
76.20 |
77.20 |
81.70 |
-5.5 |
31 |
Virginia |
76.04 |
75.54 |
77.04 |
-1.0 |
32 |
Appalachian State |
75.22 |
75.72 |
73.72 |
1.5 |
33 |
Tennessee |
75.03 |
73.53 |
79.03 |
-4.0 |
34 |
Ole Miss |
74.99 |
74.99 |
72.99 |
2.0 |
35 |
Miami (FL) |
74.88 |
76.88 |
79.38 |
-4.5 |
36 |
Kansas State |
74.58 |
74.58 |
70.58 |
4.0 |
37 |
Missouri |
74.55 |
76.05 |
81.55 |
-7.0 |
38 |
Michigan State |
73.88 |
72.88 |
84.38 |
-10.5 |
39 |
UL-Lafayette |
73.86 |
72.36 |
59.36 |
14.5 |
40 |
Air Force |
73.85 |
73.85 |
67.85 |
6.0 |
41 |
North Carolina |
73.74 |
73.24 |
69.24 |
4.5 |
42 |
Florida State |
73.46 |
72.96 |
80.46 |
-7.0 |
43 |
South Carolina |
73.26 |
73.26 |
80.26 |
-7.0 |
44 |
Mississippi State |
73.14 |
73.14 |
83.14 |
-10.0 |
45 |
Arizona State |
73.07 |
71.07 |
74.57 |
-1.5 |
46 |
Cincinnati |
72.96 |
73.96 |
74.96 |
-2.0 |
47 |
Pittsburgh |
72.63 |
74.13 |
72.13 |
0.5 |
48 |
SMU |
72.32 |
72.82 |
64.32 |
8.0 |
49 |
Louisville |
72.28 |
71.28 |
65.28 |
7.0 |
50 |
Navy |
72.24 |
71.74 |
58.24 |
14.0 |
51 |
Wake Forest |
72.14 |
70.64 |
69.14 |
3.0 |
52 |
Kentucky |
71.99 |
71.49 |
72.99 |
-1.0 |
53 |
Nebraska |
71.80 |
69.30 |
79.80 |
-8.0 |
54 |
Tulane |
70.86 |
70.36 |
64.36 |
6.5 |
55 |
BYU |
70.68 |
70.68 |
74.18 |
-3.5 |
56 |
Texas Tech |
70.64 |
70.64 |
73.64 |
-3.0 |
57 |
Oregon State |
69.93 |
68.43 |
62.93 |
7.0 |
58 |
California |
69.79 |
68.79 |
71.79 |
-2.0 |
59 |
Illinois |
68.56 |
67.56 |
62.56 |
6.0 |
60 |
Boston College |
68.35 |
69.35 |
69.35 |
-1.0 |
61 |
Florida Atlantic |
68.24 |
68.24 |
64.74 |
3.5 |
62 |
UCLA |
68.05 |
68.55 |
77.55 |
-9.5 |
63 |
Colorado |
67.74 |
65.74 |
66.74 |
1.0 |
64 |
Temple |
67.53 |
66.53 |
67.03 |
0.5 |
65 |
Purdue |
67.51 |
67.51 |
73.51 |
-6.0 |
66 |
Duke |
67.49 |
68.99 |
71.49 |
-4.0 |
67 |
Stanford |
67.40 |
68.40 |
77.90 |
-10.5 |
68 |
Western Michigan |
67.04 |
67.04 |
65.54 |
1.5 |
69 |
Arizona |
66.37 |
67.37 |
74.37 |
-8.0 |
70 |
Syracuse |
66.36 |
67.36 |
76.36 |
-10.0 |
71 |
West Virginia |
66.22 |
66.22 |
70.22 |
-4.0 |
72 |
Utah State |
66.17 |
68.67 |
69.67 |
-3.5 |
73 |
Western Kentucky |
65.24 |
63.74 |
58.74 |
6.5 |
74 |
Wyoming |
65.18 |
65.18 |
60.68 |
4.5 |
75 |
Southern Miss |
65.13 |
66.63 |
64.63 |
0.5 |
76 |
Fresno State |
65.01 |
67.01 |
71.01 |
-6.0 |
76 |
San Diego State |
65.01 |
65.51 |
67.01 |
-2.0 |
78 |
Hawaii |
65.00 |
64.50 |
62.00 |
3.0 |
79 |
Marshall |
64.61 |
65.61 |
66.61 |
-2.0 |
80 |
Northwestern |
64.03 |
64.53 |
75.03 |
-11.0 |
81 |
NC State |
63.85 |
63.85 |
72.35 |
-8.5 |
82 |
Army |
63.40 |
63.40 |
67.90 |
-4.5 |
83 |
Tulsa |
63.08 |
64.08 |
61.08 |
2.0 |
84 |
Kansas |
63.03 |
62.53 |
57.53 |
5.5 |
85 |
Houston |
62.61 |
61.61 |
68.11 |
-5.5 |
86 |
Ohio |
62.44 |
60.94 |
66.44 |
-4.0 |
87 |
Buffalo |
62.40 |
60.90 |
57.40 |
5.0 |
88 |
Georgia Southern |
61.76 |
62.26 |
61.26 |
0.5 |
89 |
Ball State |
61.36 |
61.86 |
54.36 |
7.0 |
90 |
Georgia Tech |
61.32 |
61.32 |
66.32 |
-5.0 |
91 |
UAB |
61.09 |
61.09 |
59.59 |
1.5 |
92 |
Troy |
60.73 |
62.23 |
62.23 |
-1.5 |
93 |
Arkansas State |
60.72 |
60.22 |
64.22 |
-3.5 |
93 |
FIU |
60.72 |
58.72 |
65.22 |
-4.5 |
95 |
Miami (OH) |
60.68 |
61.68 |
60.18 |
0.5 |
96 |
Louisiana Tech |
60.42 |
60.42 |
63.92 |
-3.5 |
97 |
USF |
60.22 |
62.22 |
65.72 |
-5.5 |
98 |
Colorado State |
59.71 |
59.71 |
55.71 |
4.0 |
99 |
Central Michigan |
59.49 |
58.99 |
49.99 |
9.5 |
100 |
Vanderbilt |
59.37 |
58.87 |
69.87 |
-10.5 |
101 |
Liberty |
59.05 |
59.55 |
54.05 |
5.0 |
102 |
Eastern Michigan |
58.65 |
56.65 |
58.65 |
0.0 |
103 |
San Jose State |
58.36 |
58.86 |
51.36 |
7.0 |
104 |
Maryland |
58.34 |
62.34 |
66.84 |
-8.5 |
105 |
Middle Tennessee |
58.30 |
57.80 |
59.30 |
-1.0 |
106 |
Arkansas |
58.28 |
58.28 |
69.78 |
-11.5 |
107 |
North Texas |
57.92 |
58.92 |
61.42 |
-3.5 |
108 |
Northern Illinois |
57.53 |
59.53 |
62.03 |
-4.5 |
109 |
Nevada |
57.36 |
55.86 |
60.86 |
-3.5 |
110 |
Kent State |
57.28 |
56.78 |
54.28 |
3.0 |
111 |
Georgia State |
56.96 |
56.46 |
51.96 |
5.0 |
112 |
Charlotte |
56.93 |
55.93 |
53.43 |
3.5 |
113 |
UL-Monroe |
56.41 |
56.41 |
55.41 |
1.0 |
114 |
Toledo |
56.23 |
57.73 |
63.73 |
-7.5 |
115 |
Coastal Carolina |
55.23 |
55.23 |
51.73 |
3.5 |
116 |
East Carolina |
54.87 |
55.37 |
54.87 |
0.0 |
117 |
UNLV |
54.17 |
53.67 |
55.67 |
-1.5 |
118 |
Rice |
52.48 |
51.48 |
45.48 |
7.0 |
119 |
Texas State |
50.19 |
49.69 |
53.19 |
-3.0 |
120 |
Rutgers |
48.03 |
48.53 |
58.53 |
-10.5 |
121 |
New Mexico |
47.73 |
47.73 |
51.23 |
-3.5 |
122 |
New Mexico State |
47.72 |
47.72 |
49.72 |
-2.0 |
123 |
South Alabama |
47.04 |
47.54 |
45.54 |
1.5 |
124 |
UTSA |
46.91 |
46.91 |
49.41 |
-2.5 |
125 |
Old Dominion |
45.73 |
46.23 |
48.73 |
-3.0 |
126 |
UTEP |
42.53 |
42.53 |
44.53 |
-2.0 |
127 |
Connecticut |
41.36 |
40.86 |
43.86 |
-2.5 |
128 |
Bowling Green |
40.34 |
41.84 |
48.34 |
-8.0 |
129 |
Akron |
35.73 |
35.23 |
48.73 |
-13.0 |
130 |
Massachusetts |
28.08 |
28.08 |
44.58 |
-16.5 |