ASU beat ULL twice last year though the games were closer than the final scores.
This year ASU offense is better with the return of QB Zac Thomas, the backfield is intact, and the receiving corp returning most of key players. The OL is solid, all 5 linemen with starting experience. The biggest question mark is a brand new coaching staff. Though the offense seems better but there are so many concerns on the defensive side, the side with a ton of experienced and key returners. Somehow ASU gave up 41 pts and 526 yds to Charlotte (LY only 9 pts and 203 yds). Similarly they gave up 37 pts and 393 yds to Coastal Carolina (LY 7 pts and 178 yds) These are serious problems even ASU was able to come out as winner in both games.
Meanwhile ULL is firing on all cylinders, offensively and defensively. The biggest and interesting match up would be their explosive running attack vs a traditionally solid rush defense of the Mountaineers. If ASU front seven could not stop ULL rushing attack (which I doubt they could as they gave up 230 rushing yards at 5.75 ypc to Charlotte) ASU will need to turn to their QB's passing attack , and the game will likely be a shoot-out.
I believe ULL will have a chance to avenge 2 losses last year, and cover a short spread.
PICK: ULL -2 (Lean on the Over as well)