1-1 so far this year with my football picks. Tonight, I am going with:
ILL +28 (-120) @ home vs PENN ST
Sprinkle some of that 28/1 moneyline also!
Illinois games are averaging 49 points per game this year, and since the start of last year, their home games average 43 points. 28 is a lot in what could be a lower scoring affair. PENN ST is coming off back to back blowouts vs weak mid-major opponents.
You gotta like home dogs playing on Friday nights in nationally televised games. Penn state has OH ST next week, and they just want to get the win in Champaign and get out of town. If PENN ST does get out to an early lead, the backdoor will be wide open. Not going to overthink this one.
FL ATL vs CEN FL under 75 (-120)
FL ATL games are averaging 71 per game this year and CEN FL games are averaging 53. Oddsmaker could make this 100, and the public is still going to bet the over. Just too many points. This got bet up to 76 and then started to crash. Looks like class sharp vs squares on this one.
Friday night games are typically under spots.
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