These updated power ratings of mine are basically a Vegas rating as I would favor Alabama by at least 5 points over any other team in the country. In order to come up with a line on any game, all you have to do is subtract the two teams' power ratings and add around 3-points for home field advantage. For example, South Carolina is at Vanderbilt this week. South Carolina's power rating is 78.97 while Vanderbilt's is 73.74. On a neutral field, South Carolina would be around a 5-point favorite according to my power ratings. However, if you give Vanderbilt around 3-points of home field advantage, my power rating on the game is around South Carolina -2 and that is where the current line on the game is.
I hope these ratings are just another handicapping tool you can use in prepping for the upcoming season.
Best of luck,
Brad
Rank |
Team |
Preseason |
Last Week |
This Week |
1 |
Alabama |
96.80 |
99.30 |
101.30 |
2 |
Georgia |
93.18 |
95.68 |
96.18 |
3 |
Clemson |
96.04 |
95.04 |
95.54 |
4 |
Ohio State |
94.53 |
95.53 |
94.53 |
5 |
Oklahoma |
91.33 |
92.83 |
92.33 |
6 |
Washington |
90.26 |
89.76 |
90.26 |
7 |
Auburn |
90.27 |
90.27 |
88.77 |
8 |
Penn State |
88.57 |
87.57 |
88.57 |
9 |
Michigan |
90.01 |
89.01 |
88.01 |
10 |
Mississippi State |
85.77 |
86.77 |
87.27 |
11 |
LSU |
82.24 |
84.74 |
86.74 |
12 |
Wisconsin |
90.14 |
89.14 |
86.14 |
13 |
Stanford |
86.18 |
86.18 |
85.68 |
14 |
Oklahoma State |
81.99 |
82.49 |
84.49 |
15 |
Texas A&M |
81.73 |
83.23 |
84.23 |
16 |
Miami (FL) |
85.86 |
82.86 |
83.86 |
17 |
TCU |
82.01 |
82.51 |
83.51 |
18 |
Virginia Tech |
80.28 |
83.28 |
83.28 |
19 |
Notre Dame |
87.75 |
85.75 |
82.75 |
20 |
Boston College |
79.57 |
82.07 |
82.57 |
21 |
Michigan State |
87.55 |
82.55 |
82.55 |
22 |
West Virginia |
79.44 |
82.44 |
82.44 |
23 |
Boise State |
80.43 |
83.43 |
81.43 |
24 |
Missouri |
80.05 |
81.05 |
80.55 |
25 |
Oregon |
81.48 |
81.98 |
80.48 |
26 |
USC |
84.38 |
81.88 |
80.38 |
27 |
Iowa |
77.70 |
79.70 |
80.20 |
28 |
Utah |
81.16 |
80.66 |
80.16 |
29 |
Texas |
83.93 |
78.93 |
79.93 |
30 |
UCF |
78.16 |
79.16 |
79.16 |
31 |
South Carolina |
80.47 |
78.97 |
78.97 |
32 |
NC State |
77.90 |
77.40 |
77.40 |
33 |
Florida |
81.18 |
77.18 |
77.18 |
34 |
Duke |
77.90 |
73.90 |
76.90 |
35 |
Washington State |
72.19 |
75.19 |
76.19 |
36 |
California |
75.81 |
75.81 |
75.81 |
37 |
Memphis |
76.26 |
74.76 |
75.76 |
38 |
Georgia Tech |
78.86 |
77.36 |
75.36 |
39 |
Fresno State |
72.57 |
73.57 |
75.07 |
40 |
Texas Tech |
75.56 |
74.06 |
75.06 |
41 |
Syracuse |
69.42 |
70.92 |
74.92 |
42 |
Iowa State |
78.31 |
73.81 |
74.81 |
43 |
Arizona State |
72.77 |
76.27 |
74.77 |
43 |
Kentucky |
71.27 |
74.77 |
74.77 |
45 |
Florida State |
84.04 |
78.54 |
74.54 |
46 |
Northwestern |
77.89 |
75.89 |
73.89 |
47 |
BYU |
65.88 |
69.88 |
73.88 |
47 |
Utah State |
66.88 |
72.88 |
73.88 |
49 |
Minnesota |
70.83 |
71.83 |
73.83 |
50 |
Vanderbilt |
67.74 |
71.74 |
73.74 |
51 |
Ole Miss |
74.30 |
75.30 |
73.30 |
52 |
Louisville |
79.18 |
76.18 |
73.18 |
53 |
Wake Forest |
76.55 |
73.55 |
73.05 |
54 |
Maryland |
70.54 |
75.54 |
73.04 |
55 |
Pittsburgh |
74.93 |
70.93 |
72.93 |
56 |
Florida Atlantic |
76.83 |
73.33 |
72.83 |
57 |
Houston |
71.76 |
73.76 |
72.76 |
58 |
Purdue |
75.25 |
72.25 |
72.75 |
59 |
Indiana |
72.63 |
71.63 |
72.63 |
60 |
Colorado |
69.52 |
72.52 |
72.52 |
61 |
USF |
69.65 |
71.65 |
71.65 |
62 |
San Diego State |
72.49 |
69.49 |
71.49 |
63 |
Kansas State |
76.46 |
71.46 |
71.46 |
64 |
Virginia |
66.53 |
68.53 |
70.53 |
65 |
Arizona |
78.38 |
70.38 |
70.38 |
66 |
Appalachian State |
65.65 |
69.65 |
69.65 |
67 |
Baylor |
74.94 |
72.44 |
69.44 |
68 |
Tennessee |
70.55 |
69.05 |
69.05 |
69 |
Marshall |
68.90 |
68.90 |
68.90 |
70 |
North Texas |
63.26 |
66.26 |
68.76 |
71 |
UCLA |
73.53 |
69.53 |
68.03 |
72 |
Toledo |
68.34 |
68.84 |
67.84 |
73 |
Nebraska |
74.17 |
70.67 |
67.67 |
74 |
Navy |
69.00 |
67.00 |
67.00 |
75 |
Arkansas State |
66.96 |
65.96 |
66.96 |
76 |
Arkansas |
73.15 |
69.15 |
66.65 |
77 |
Northern Illinois |
67.55 |
67.05 |
66.55 |
78 |
Louisiana Tech |
66.45 |
66.45 |
66.45 |
79 |
Troy |
64.82 |
63.32 |
66.32 |
80 |
Army |
66.23 |
66.23 |
66.23 |
80 |
Cincinnati |
59.73 |
65.23 |
66.23 |
82 |
Middle Tennessee |
67.58 |
66.08 |
65.58 |
83 |
Temple |
67.98 |
62.98 |
65.48 |
84 |
Ohio |
69.61 |
66.61 |
64.61 |
85 |
North Carolina |
71.19 |
64.19 |
64.19 |
86 |
Buffalo |
62.12 |
63.62 |
64.12 |
87 |
Tulane |
62.69 |
65.19 |
63.69 |
88 |
Air Force |
61.10 |
63.10 |
63.60 |
89 |
UNLV |
59.65 |
63.15 |
63.15 |
90 |
Eastern Michigan |
60.29 |
63.29 |
62.79 |
91 |
Western Michigan |
63.47 |
61.97 |
62.47 |
92 |
Wyoming |
65.38 |
63.38 |
62.38 |
93 |
Kansas |
60.47 |
58.47 |
61.47 |
94 |
Nevada |
61.62 |
61.62 |
61.12 |
95 |
Oregon State |
59.11 |
60.61 |
61.11 |
96 |
UAB |
61.07 |
59.57 |
61.07 |
97 |
Tulsa |
60.24 |
61.74 |
60.74 |
98 |
FIU |
55.74 |
57.24 |
59.74 |
99 |
SMU |
62.70 |
58.70 |
59.70 |
100 |
Miami (OH) |
63.53 |
61.53 |
59.53 |
101 |
Hawaii |
48.33 |
59.33 |
59.33 |
102 |
Illinois |
63.73 |
59.23 |
59.23 |
103 |
Georgia Southern |
58.22 |
59.72 |
59.22 |
104 |
Rutgers |
63.45 |
61.95 |
58.95 |
105 |
Akron |
55.98 |
55.98 |
57.98 |
106 |
Colorado State |
60.55 |
57.55 |
57.55 |
107 |
UL-Monroe |
58.48 |
58.48 |
57.48 |
108 |
Southern Miss |
58.35 |
57.35 |
57.35 |
109 |
Ball State |
51.27 |
57.77 |
57.27 |
110 |
Western Kentucky |
55.14 |
54.14 |
55.14 |
111 |
Central Michigan |
56.40 |
54.40 |
54.90 |
112 |
Massachusetts |
59.87 |
57.37 |
54.87 |
113 |
UL-Lafayette |
51.29 |
55.29 |
54.79 |
114 |
New Mexico |
55.41 |
53.41 |
54.41 |
115 |
East Carolina |
53.84 |
54.84 |
54.34 |
116 |
UTSA |
55.05 |
54.05 |
53.55 |
117 |
Coastal Carolina |
51.35 |
52.85 |
53.35 |
118 |
Bowling Green |
55.68 |
53.18 |
52.68 |
119 |
Liberty |
47.65 |
52.65 |
52.65 |
120 |
Georgia State |
53.10 |
52.60 |
51.60 |
121 |
South Alabama |
52.48 |
51.98 |
51.48 |
122 |
Kent State |
48.22 |
52.22 |
51.22 |
123 |
Old Dominion |
57.14 |
51.64 |
50.64 |
124 |
Charlotte |
50.83 |
49.33 |
50.33 |
125 |
Rice |
49.46 |
49.46 |
49.46 |
126 |
Connecticut |
52.42 |
49.42 |
48.92 |
127 |
Texas State |
48.82 |
46.32 |
46.82 |
128 |
San Jose State |
48.25 |
45.25 |
46.75 |
129 |
New Mexico State |
56.14 |
47.14 |
46.64 |
130 |
UTEP |
45.98 |
42.98 |
42.48 |