Let's do some math here to see how powerful Sleepyj's can turn out to be and that he does not have to go 4-1 or 5-0 to make some serious money at this. First, this is a razor thin margin on a daily basis. If he makes 5 bets everyday, all bets are the same amount, all bets are at -110, and he goes 3-2 everyday, then he is earning a daily return of 1.818%, which admittedly does not sound like much. Let's see what happens over time.
Let's assume sleepyj starts with a $500 bankroll and he bets $50 on the first day ($10/bet), then he reinvests his winnings in the bankroll and continues to bet at the rate of 10% of his bankroll everyday. We will also continue to assume he goes 3-2 everyday and earns 1.818% each day. By the end of his first month, his bankroll will have increased to $858, a 71% rate of return for one month. How many of your friends brag about their investments earning 71% in a year, much less a month? Now, let's take that out over a whole year. Let's assume that sleepyj does this all year - all 365 days for the year. He goes 3-2 everyday, and earns 1.818% per day and reinvests all his winnings back into his bankroll. His bankroll at the end of the year will be nearly $359,000!
Now in reality, we know this will not happen. We know the most elite bettors are making 57%. We know that even the best bettors go through slumps, and that there will be lots of 2-3 and 1-4 days. And for me, it would be mentally exhausting and I would need plenty of days off! And if sleepyj is too successful, his books will start limiting his bets. Plus, if he becomes that successful, he will also pull some money out for himself. Believe, I would love to see sleepyj pull this off. I think it would be really awesome! I also want to show that it doesn't require a bunch of 4-1 days to be ultra successful. This is a grind, no one gets rich overnight. Just keep at it day after day.