went 1-2-1 overall last night and 1-1 in top plays. Lets get it back today. I will be back a bit later with writeups on my top plays, plus I will be adding more plays to may card as the day goes on. Really hoping I don't lose power today, but if ya don't hear from me the rest of the day you'll know why. LOL
No NBA or Hockey today
5 UNIT PLAY
Pittsburgh/ Cincinnati Over 123: (Added) Sure both teams play excellent defense, but I also se this as a physical game that could lead to allot FT’s, plus it should be a close game, which should also lead to hat late game FT battle. Hell we may even see OT. The Pitt offense has picked it up of late, averaging 68.6 ppg in their last 5 games and they average 63.4 ppg on the road, so I do expect them to hit 60+ in this one, even though Cincy allows 57.8 ppg at home. The Bearcats offense has had no troubles scoring at home, where they average 74.6 ppg and I also expect them to hit the 60’s as well even though Pitt allows just 57.6 ppg on the road. Both teams are in the middle of the pack in terms of Tempo in Big East games, so I don’t expect an all out slow down pace here. I feel the offenses will have a good showing and that will will get plenty of FT’s throughout, which should give us around the 132 points that Cincy home games have averaged this year.
4 UNIT PLAY
Kansas -3.5 over OKLAHOMA: When a coach comes out and says that this is the worst team they have ever put on the court, you can expect the players to respond with a good showing in this one. This is really a nice spot for them to get back on track as the Sooners haven't beaten them since 2005, with Kansas winning each of the last 9 in this series by at least 9 points. Oklahoma had a nice start to their big 12 season, but have faltered of late losing 4 of their last 6 conference games, including the last 2. Kansas is still one of the best teams in the country and they will figure this out. They have dominated this series and are playing a Sooner squad that may be running out of gas. Perfect spot for Kansas to get back on track with a big double digit win here.
3 UNIT PLAYS
North Carolina +7.5 over MIAMI: Sure Miami has a 10-0 home mark and they won by 27 over Duke on this floor, but the Heels are starting to figure things out and they have revenge on their minds for an earlier home loss to the Canes. The Heels are in high gear on offense right now as they have averaged 80.6 ppg in their last 5 games. I feel it will be that offense that will keep it close here. Miami has averaged 77 ppg in their last 5 games, but they are really not an explosive team and won't come up with enough points to win all that easily. The Heels have been at or near the top of the ACC for many years and are just not ready to pass the torch. They will find a way to keep it close, or maybe even pull the upset.
Texas/ Oklahoma State Over 125: The Longhorns have had their problems scoring this year, but they still average 65.5 ppg at home and they will be facing an OSU squad that has allowed 75 ppg on the road this year, including 73.5 ppg in their Big 12 road games. The Longhorns should have a good showing offensively in this one. On defense Texas has been solid at home, where they have allowed 52.9 ppg. but the Cowboys do average 69 ppg on the road and they have put up 73.2 ppg in their last 5 games overall. The Cowboys did put up 85 on a very good Kansas defense and should be good for at least the mid 60's in this one, which is also about how much I expect from the Longhorns. Neither team really slows the pace as Texas is 150th in tempo, while OSU is 120th and that has me easily expecting at least 130 points out of these teams.
Texas A&M/ Georgia Over 115: (Added) Georgia home games have averaged 121.3 ppg on the year and i expect us to get at least that in this one. The Bulldogs average 61.8 ppg at home, while the Aggies have scored 62.2 ppg on the road this year. Pretty good defensive teams, but Still the Aggies have allowed 61.2 ppg in their last 5 games, while Georgia has allowed 59.5 ppg at home. Yes both teams play a slow down pace, but the offense's seem to be paying better of late and that should give ups 120+ points in this one.
Creighton/ Illinois State Under 149: (Added) The Bluejays are known for their offense, but this is a good defensive team that allows just 62.3 ppg in their home floor. Illinois State's offense is rolling right now, but playing Drake's, Southern Illinois' and Bradley's defense in their last 3 games can make a teams offense look good. Illinois state averaged 88 ppg in those three games, while putting up just 64.2 ppg in their previous 7 games. The Redbirds have struggled some on defense in those three games (72 ppg), but in their prior 7 games they had allowed 66.3 ppg. Creighton does average 81.4 ppg at home, but they are not a true uptempo as they are 175th in tempo on the year. They just shoot the ball really well, but ISU allows just 42.9% shooting on the year, including just 40.9% in their last 5 games. I look for this one to put up 140 at the most.
3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- Texas +11.5, Detroit +6.5 & West Virginia +1
3 TEAM 8 POINT TEASER--- New Mexico +13.5, Creighton -1 & St Mary's -3 (Added)
2 UNIT PLAYS
Michigan -2.5 over WISCONSIN
Buffalo/ Northern Illinois Over 119
Utah +13 over OREGON (Added)
Idaho/ Denver Over 119 (Added)
1 UNIT PLAYS
Missouri/ Ole Miss Over 154
Detroit -1.5 over GREEN BAY
West Virginia/ TCU Over 115.5 (Added)