Yesterday just wasn't my day, in all 3 sports. I look to get it back today.
3 UNIT PLAY
Detroit/ Youngstown State Under 154.5: Youngstown State does play at at a pretty fast paced as they are ranked 42nd in tempo according to KenPom, but their games are not all that high scoring, because they don't shoot well and teams don't shoot well against them. YSU's games have averaged 137.5 ppg on the year and they are 204th in shooting (42.6%) and 82nd in defensive FG% (40.4%). On the road their numbers are even more in our favor, as their road games have a averaged just 128.7 ppg, with their offensive FG% being 40.9%, while their defensive FG% is 39%. Detroit is 20th in the nation in tempo and they do score 81.6 ppg at home, but I do expect a much better defensive performance from YSU, after allowing the Titans to hang 101 points on them in an earlier meeting this year. That earlier meeting saw 161 points scored, but I see this one in the 140's or lower. YSU will look to slow the pace some or they will run the risk of getting blownout again. 79-67 sounds about right for this one.
Siena/ Manhattan Over 119.5: Both teams play at a ver slow pace but I feel we can still get almost 130 points out of this one. The Saints have played some higher scoring games of late and that is mainly due to their defense that has allowed 79 ppg in their last 4 games. The Saints have had allot of injury and suspension woes, but this is the most at full strength the have been and it has helped offensively of late as they have averaged 74 ppg in their last 2 games, which is 15 points higher than their seasonal average of 59.3 ppg. Through their first 14 games they notched 60+ points just 6 times, but have now done it in 4 of their last 5 games. The Jaspers are the 305 slowest team in the nation and they average just 57.5 ppg on the road, but they should be good for at least the mid 60's vs a weak Saints defense. I expect both teams to be in the 60's for this one.
2 UNIT PLAY
Valpo/ Wisc-Milwaukee Over 132
1 UNIT PLAY
Rider/ Fairfield Under 121.5