4-3 Overall yesterday, but a solid 3-1 in my top plays. Let's keep it going today. Finalized
3 UNIT PLAYS
Duke/ Kentucky Over 140.5: In the Opener Kentucky showed that they will still be able to score plenty this year, even with all their new faces. It will take some time for them to gel, but they did not take on a great defensive team in the opener and will take on a Duke team that struggled mightily on defense last year. Duke did look good in on defense in their opener vs Georgia State, but they are not the same kind of offensive team as the Cats are. The Duke offense is very good and they do like to run a bit and hoist up a ton of threes and they will be facing a Kentucky team that had some breakdowns vs Maryland, allowing allot of easy baskets. Both teams will struggle on defense in this one as we see a game that could reach 150.
BYU -13 over Georgia State: The Cougars had a very nice year in their first year in the WCC and they are poised to be a very good team this year. In their opener vs Tennessee they were on fire from the floor, connecting on 30-of-55 of its field goal attempts (.545), so offensively this team seems to be fine, despite losing Noah Hartsock who has moved on. Defensively BYU is also the better team here and they have a big size advantage on the Inside, which should lead to some easy baskets down low. The Panthers are just 3-13 ATS on the road vs a team with a winning home record, while the Cougars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
Kansas/ Michigan State over 129.5: In watching the opener for Michigan State it is clear that this team wants to get out an run a bit more this year and that should lead to more points for sure. Defensively the Spartans had their problems with the UConn running game and could have similar problems when Kansas decides to run. Kansas is usually a team that averages in the 70's and this year will be no different with 3 starters back from last years team that put up 73.9 ppg. I feel that both teams will look to push tempo in this one, plus with this expected to be a close game we can also expect allot of FT's late and/or OT. Look for this one to hit the 140's.
Wright State -8.5 over EASTERN ILLINOIS: This is going to be a long year for EIU, as they have no real impact players on their team and they have a new HC, Jay Spoonhour, who has a mere 10 games worth of coaching experience under his belt. Last year EIU was 288th in defensive FG% (49.4% allowed) and they seem to have the same problem this year as they allowed Bradley to shoot 58% in their opener. Tonight they will take on a Wright State squad that shot 48% in the second half of their game vs Idaho. Wright State also had 4 players score in double digits and had just 6 total turnovers in the game vs the Vandals. In contrast, EIU had just 2 players score more than 6 points in their opener, they were outrebounded by 11 rebounds, they shot just 34.7% and they committed 14 TO's. Wright state is much better at both ends of the floor and should win this one rather easily.
2 UNIT PLAY
Butler -5 over XAVIER
Michigan/ Cleveland State Over 128
1 UNIT PLAYS
Houston -2 over San Jose State (Push)
Tennessee State +11 over SOUTH DAKOTA STATE