Here's Dave Tuley's takes:

In Saturday’s first national semifinal, NC State tries to continue its Cinderella run against Purdue, a team I need to win a couple of bracket contests. However, as I said on “The Greg Peterson Experience,” while I want Purdue to advance to the championship game, this line is too inflated to pass up with the Wolfpack. I believe I said I would pass if it was 6 or 7 points, but oddsmakers continue to inflate the lines on Purdue and UConn (more on that below) as everyone seems to believe they’re destined to meet in the title game. NC State famously ran through the ACC tournament (like it did in 1983) by winning five games in five days and has carried that momentum in the Big Dance. The Wolfpack doesn’t do anything exceptionally well. They are No. 40 in offensive efficiency at kenpom.com and No. 45 in defensive efficiency, but they’re pretty balanced and clearly in great recent form with the upsets of Marquette and Duke, which makes those numbers moot. And everyone wants to see 6-foot-9 DJ Burns Jr. mixing it up with 7-4 Zach Edey. We also expect a moderate pace here as neither team is anywhere near the Top 100 in adjusted tempo at kenpom with NC State at No. 144 at 68.1 possessions per 40 minutes and Purdue at No. 205 at 67.2. This should lead to more of a half-court game and keep points at a relative premium, making it more likely for us to stay within single digits throughout.

Final Four Best Bet: NC State +9.5

Alabama +12 vs. UConn?

I actually gave this out Sunday night as my top play. Similar to the first game, this line is just too inflated with no one seemingly wanting to fade UConn as the Huskies are on a historic run in the tournament at 10-0 ATS since last year with all wins by double digits and eight of those covering the spread by double digits. However, we’re not afraid to bet that a trend like that ends, especially as we’re getting an inflated line. We also get an Alabama team that can run with anyone as we expect the Tide to push the pace and try to turn this into a shootout. Granted, UConn’s defense is capable of shutting down the best offense as the Huskies have done throughout the tournament, including against Illinois. But we’ll take our chances that Bama can keep it close throughout as I have this line at UConn just -5. And even if Alabama falls behind big, we could have a second chance to win the bet with a backdoor cover if UConn clears the bench to start preparing for the title game.
Final Four Best Bet: Alabama +12