832 Colorado -5.5 over Arizona
Love Colorado in this spot. They’ve been playing great over their last 5 games going 4-1 straight up and ATS winning by 8 points/game and they’re 9-3 straight up and 7-5 ATS at home winning by 12 points/game. Arizona is not playing so well going 0-5 straight up and ATS in their last 5 games losing by 11 points/game and they’re 4-7 straight up and ATS on the road losing by 5 points/game. In those stretch of games Arizona lost to Washington St. at home as 11 point favorites so this isn’t the same Arizona team that we’ve seen over the years. I don’t think the 3 point shot will be much of a factor while neither team shoots it better than 35% but Arizona has a problem defending the 2 as they give up 49% on the road and Colorado shoots 48% from 2 at home so their top 2 players (Bey & Wright IV) should have no problem leading the way and getting to the free throw line as well. Colorado will be without a rotational player (Namon Wright) but it looks like they’ve adjusted their lineups and they’ve won and covered their last 4 games. Arizona did win the first matchup this season so Colorado will be out for revenge. Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.