Unique day in the MAAC this late in the season with 3 matchups on the slate first time meetings on the season.
837 Marist +4 (-120)
Back to the well with the Red Foxes on the road as short dogs. The first of the non MAAC rematches. I liked this at open anything less than Monmouth laying HCA, but it got bet up then I added a bit for more safety....pansy I know. Monmouth just finished a 3 game road trip and now find themselves in the exact spot I predicted early Januarh, seriously in the running for a trip to Dayton and the First Four. They have improved and are good ATS at home, but today a team with a lot of confidence that arguably (kind of) is the best offense in the MAAC. Marist EFG% inside conference extracted out is firmly top 20 nationally. They are tops in the league in shooting both inside and outside the arc. Monmouth's defense looks good on paper but has many games against the subpar MAAC offenses on its resume thus far I expect Marist to be playing loose and confident off their outright road upset Friday night. Monmouth is home now after failing to beat Rider and take the conference lead...I think back home after away for a while will be tight especially to start. Marist gets to an early lead and is solid holding it with their ability to stave off comebacks and continue to score no matter their defense lacks. I think the Red Foxes could win outright again and we get a full 4 points.
842 Manhattan/Canisius Under 125
Odd to say 125 points is too many, but as with Siena on the usual...Manhattan is almost as trustworthy of an Under play. This is the second of the MAAC first of the year matchups and both teams have been playing better ball of late. Manhattan is on the road here but almost dictate the pace of play better than their opponents on the road. They will not push and can almost shut down the push by opponents as well as anyone and even average a shorter possession time on offense than their opponents with their defense.
The strengths simply aren't in the right spots for this to be high scoring or even close. With this total it is harder to make it a huge play due to the 6 to 7 point spread. If that bears out to be true then late game fouling will hurt us...but it is still a solid play with a really good opportunity the winner barely hits the 60 mark.
Under 138.5 Live or Under 68.5 2H Manhattan/Canisius
Fade the 60% shooting...pace and handicap were right and possessions were dead on...26 of 46 is worth a fade or I deserve a double failure!