I've been burned by Iowa St time and time again last few years. They are soft. PASS. Villanova lives and dies by the 3. That will fail over the course of 7 games. PASS Nevada has some nice talent, experience from last year, but personally don't think they have enough to get job done. PASS. Marquette has several players that can carry team, including one of the best in league arguably in Howard. I take Marquette at those odds. I do also like Houston alot given style of play, can shoot, etc. So Marquette and Houston for me.