A nice 3* GOM winner for us on the Kentucky/Vanderbilt total - and we move on with a Triple Dime GOW on Wednesday. Here were a couple from last night's thread - buried in the rubble of CFB, probably.
Wednesday (the benefit of being a LT subscriber, sorry)
|735 Pittsburgh 12.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 736 Louisville
Analysis: Just too many points, IMO. Pittsburgh CAN score - L'ville is in a tough spot with Duke on Saturday. If it's not a close game, which I think it may well be, the back door shouldn't ever close. Pittsburgh hasn't lost a game by 12 yet this season and have lost four straight to L'ville - as a senior-laden team, this is their last chance so we should see a big effort here.
Villanova: I'd love to find a way to take Xavier with the points, but 'Nova has SJU next so no reason whatsoever not to be focused on this game. Add that to the fact that Xavier gave them one of their two conference losses last season.
Vanderbilt: They have one of the best little-known home court advantages in the NCAA
Butler/Creighton: Two teams everyone wants to be ON and only one is going to win. Creighton's only loss was to Villanova, so so know what type of team might give them issues, and that no doubt woke them up. Teams that beat the Jays last year were, for the most part, teams that would run with them and simply executed better. You'd think it'd be teams that slowed them down, but not so much. If I took Butler my instinct would worry about losing at St. Johns, but they did just beat 'Nova then G-Town on the road. If we take Butler we're asking them to win two straight road Conference games, but I think that's the play - for no other reason than the fact that I trust them far more than Creighton. Creighton has the length, but I'm not sure I trust them to use it, and think this is a high scoring game.
Wake/UNC: The Heels beat NC State by 51 at home, play at Wake, then have FSU at home Saturday, so the situation certainly calls for a fade here. Clearly IMO the value will be on Wake, losers of three of five - but to either VERY good teams and/or on the road. Much like Vanderbilt, Wake has had a nice home court advantage over the years. Wake is a very good offensive team and is not challenged by length here - Wake or nothing.
Iowa State/Oklahoma State: Should we be concerned about the Cowboy's three straight losses? Perhaps, but neither they nor Iowa have and bad losses yet this season. They (Oklahoma State) need the win to avoid a potential free-fall, but that Baylor game could have sapped them mentally and they play Kansas on the road Saturday, so not the greatest of situations for them. ISU is going to live and die by the long ball, and they're playing considerably slower in Prohms' second year than even last year, or certainly when Hoiberg was there. I don't trust Ok States' defense - but I trust a three point shooting team on the road that doesn't get to the line even less. Oklahoma State should right the ship, and probably under.