Hey Guys -
We finished last week 20-11, +12.9* including the soccer prop bet that we cashed for Rodriguez from Venezuela scoring the most goals in the tourney.
Now, it's All-Star break. I wanted to get you guys what I'm doing for the All-Star game & HR Derby tonight. I'm of course keeping it light and not doing anything that hurts the bankroll. But it's fun to have some action, and so I went through the HR Derby & All-Star Game for a couple plays.
Here we go:
- Troy Tulowitzki, 1* +600 - This guy is a LOT stronger than people give credit, and his issue is that he just hasn't been able to stay healthy consistently. He DOES get the Coors Field stigma attached to his name, but if you break down his stats further, he's hit 99 HRs at Coors Field and 77 away from Coors field. So not THAT much of a difference, really. And he's worth a shot here at the price. I kind of approach the HR Derby as I do the Kentucky Derby. We could bet on the favorite, but the odds and VALUE aren't as good with the favorite, and all it takes is one guy getting hot and it goes from there.
- Yoenis Cespedes +500, 1* - I liked these odds and I actually wanted to take Puig...because there's been some back and forth between Puig & Cespedes. But the odds are better for Cespedes, he is stronger, he's a RIGHT (corrected) handed hitter (which we like for Target Field) and perhaps what I like most about Cespedes is that he has strength to ALL fields. A hitter who can knock it out to ALL fields, and a hitter who is familiar with the competition is dangerous. And he CAN win this.
- Jose Battista - +450, 0.5* - Jose Battista can flat out hit the ball, and if you check on ESPN, they have an awesome spray tracker that shows how many HRs hit this season would be a HR at Target Field. Battista has EVERY HR hit far enough to be out at Target Field. And he frankly has enough power to give this pick VALUE.
One thing to mention is that we can always hedge bets too. Say for instance, if we take Tulo and he crushes the first round. Maybe he's tired, or MAYBE we can get live odds on another guy in the 2nd round. Something to consider. If I see any VALUE in live betting, I will try to tweet it out.
Back tomorrow with an All-Star Game Play