BOSTON RED SOX -125
Not even going to wait for lineups for this play as we have a huge pitching advantage with Lester facing Sabathia. This used to be the marquee pitching matchup of these series but that was when CC was still good. Sabathia has never been good against Boston with a 5+ ERA and that dates back to his dominant Cleveland days, and Lester has figured out the Yankees and has been fantastic against them recently. This should be a big difference for Boston's bats going from facing Pineda, the cheater, with overpowering stuff, to Sabathia throwing batting practice fast balls. I like Boston tonight 6-2.