Posted: 05/05/2025 11:56 PM

MLB Tuesday Preview + Best Bets (Full Analysis)

In the latest episode of the RJ Bell’s Dream Preview, hosts Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner deliver an extensive preview of the Tuesday MLB betting slate. They break down game lines, pitching matchups, and historical trends with nuanced context and betting logic, all strictly using transcript data.

? Episode Introduction (0:09–1:39)

Munaf welcomes listeners and sets up the Tuesday preview recorded Monday night.
Acknowledges incomplete pitcher listings for some games.
Griffin reflects on a recent split result (1-1), notes Munaf’s impressive 7-4 season record, and updates his own to 5-5.
Stresses recent podcast success: 7-1 in past four episodes (88%).

Guardians vs. Nationals (Doubleheader) – No Lines Available

Lewis Ortiz named for Cleveland; Nationals starter unconfirmed.
Game skipped due to incomplete data.

Dodgers vs. Marlins (1:39–6:05)

Tony Gonsolin (LAD): First start since April 30 (6 IP, 3 ER, 9 K vs. MIA in 12-7 win).
Cal Quantrill (MIA): 1–7 career vs. Dodgers, 8.22 ERA in 9 appearances.
Edman injury noted (8 HR, 24 RBI pre-IL).
Betting View: Dodgers’ 1st five or full game team total; heavy lean on the over (9).

Rangers vs. Red Sox (6:07–11:30)

Nathan Eovaldi (TEX): 12 IP, 1 ER, 15 K in last 2 starts vs. SF and OAK.
Lucas Giolito (BOS): Return from injury, throwing 91 mph; perceived as weak link.
Griffin suggests conspiracy over Rangers’ hitting drought and failed coaching.
Betting View: Rangers first 5 innings bet; full game under consideration due to Red Sox skepticism.

Phillies vs. Rays (11:31–15:53)

Zach Wheeler (PHI): Allowed ≥2 ER in every start post-opener.
Drew Rasmussen (TB): Effective, but 4 team losses in last 5 starts.
Offensive drought for Phillies emphasized.
Betting View: Under 8, with a possible first 5 under (4) if available.

Padres vs. Yankees (15:54–19:26)

Michael King (SD): 3 ER across 4 starts; includes CG shutout vs. COL.
Clark Schmidt (NYY): Less trustworthy; recent schedule shift noted.
Padres expected to exploit Yankee bullpen.
Betting View: Padres ML (~-108), strong lean based on form and familiarity.

Reds vs. Braves (19:26–23:17)

Chris Sale (ATL): 7 IP, 2 ER, 10 K in last start; inconsistent inning loads.
Andrew Abbott (CIN): 2 recent 4-inning starts; offense rated very weak.
Betting View: Over 8 runs expected due to bullpen volatility and Abbott blow-up risk.

Giants vs. Cubs (23:17–27:05)

Colin Rea (CHC): 1–3, 8.57 ERA vs. Giants; 10 ER in 4 IP in latest meeting.
Justin Verlander (SF): 3 starts, 6 IP each, 4 ER total; low K totals (4–6 per start).
Cubs hitting surge continues, but market may overprice.
Betting View: Lean Giants ML +127 due to strong SP edge and undervaluation.

White Sox vs. Royals (27:12–31:04)

Seth Lugo (KC): 3–0, 0.79 ERA vs. CHW in 2023 (22.2 IP, 2 ER, 13 K).
CHW viewed as "unbackable" due to AAA-level lineup.
Betting View: KC run line -1.5 (-108) cited as valuable.

Orioles vs. Twins (31:04–33:48)

Cade Povich (BAL): 1 bad start (7 ER vs. CIN); otherwise solid.
Pablo Lopez (MIN): Strong home stats; overs hit 66.7%.
Orioles called offensively limited.
Betting View: Value on BAL ML, or pass due to heavy juice on MIN.

? Astros vs. Brewers (33:48–39:49)

Yordan Alvarez placed on IL (hand inflammation) weakens HOU lineup.
Hayden Wesneski (HOU): Previously shut out MIL (6.1 IP).
Chad Patrick (MIL): 0–4 in last 4 starts; team scored just 7 total runs.
Betting View: Under 8 (or 8.5); public leans over may create value.

? Pirates vs. Cardinals (39:49–43:45)

Paul Skenes (PIT): 0–3 vs. STL, despite 2.70 ERA and 30 K; suffers from no run support.
Matthew Liberatore (STL): Strong form; rain-shortened last outing.
Betting View: STL ML +113; fading Skenes due to Pirates’ anemic offense.

Tigers vs. Rockies (43:45–46:59)

Jackson Jobe (DET): 5–0 team record in starts, but 4 BB last outing.
Chase Dolander (COL): No confidence expressed.
Betting View: Only consider DET run line; complete pass otherwise.

Mets vs. D-backs (47:00–51:03)

Zac Gallen (ARI): 1–3 at home, curve struggles in AZ air.
David Peterson (NYM): Reliable ~5 IP pitcher.
NYM offense seen as superior; ARI bullpen weak (overused Ginkle, no closer).
Betting View: Mets ML, Mets team total over.

Mariners vs. A’s (51:03–56:50)

Jeffrey Springs (OAK): 6 shutout innings in last start.
Emerson Hancock (SEA): Low K rate, high contact.
A’s praised for deep, under-the-radar offense and bullpen.
Betting View: A’s ML -116 (Griffin’s Best Bet), also value on over 9.5.

Best Bets (54:10–56:50)

Griffin Warner: Oakland Athletics ML -116
Rationale: Better SP, deeper bullpen, undervalued team.
Munaf Manji: San Diego Padres ML -108
Rationale: King’s form, Yankees’ weak starter and bullpen.

Promo & Sign-Off (56:50–57:53)

Promo Code: HIT20 – $20 off 30-day MLB package (reduces price to $99).
Hosts encourage support to sustain show production.