MLB "FAVORITE SIDE (FAV)" 2025 ( 1 - 1 ) 0 units
MLB "UNDERDOG SIDE (DOG)" 2025 ( 0 - 0 )
MLB "TOTAL SCORE" 2025 ( 0 - 0 )
Money never sleeps, Bud.
Thoughts: So for "Joe Public," Diamondbacks loss yesterday was an "L" and a deserved Homeresque "bad pick." The reality is that the Diamondbacks actually deserved the win. For those that watched the game, were it not for the dimensions of Chase Field, Suarez's epic blast would have won us the number. I know, "woulda, shoulda, coulda." But not really. Sports investing is about understanding the "real outcome" and also managing the "ebbs and flows" of luck. Yes, that's right, there is actually an ebb and flow to "luck." Statistically, "Joe Public" does have their days/weeks/months (look at the NFL public side this past season, and the EPIC Joe Public romp not felt by Vegas books like in forever...), and during the ebbs, you need to invest more conservatively. I have found the trick to baseball investing is knowing WHEN to drop the units heavy, and when to tread. Not an exact science. My approach uses statistical regression analysis, ebb & flow sensitivity, and a focus on a few key variables. Personally, I do a lot of two-team parlays on favorites (similar to RFTL51's approach, but in my humble opinion, with a little extra spice to boost the odds) Ending up positive in the units is the goal, and typically it's the "underdog" picks that get us there. Will occasionally drop insights such as these, take them worth a grain of salt if you wish, but ultimately, Blue Horseshoe loves...
G. Gecko