Nationals +119

Handicap is primarily platoon split for offenses. I'll take the home dog.

Offense
WAS - 102 DRC+ (104 v RHP)
BAL - 101 DRC+ (88 v LHP)
SP
Parker - 91 DRA- (96 pitching+)
Kremer - 112 DRA- (98 pitching+)

Phillies -128

Sanchez is a legitimate ace. He's 2nd in SPs in pithcing+. While Canning's deserved ERA is good this year so far, I'm betting he regresses to career deserved ERA. His stuff indicates he's performing over his skis. Mets are a wagon at home, but I'll turn a blind eye to back Sanchez. 

Offense
PHI - 101 DRC+ (102 v RHP)
NYM - 103 DRC+ (102 v LHP)
SP
Sanchez - 72 DRA- (116 pitching+)
Canning - 81 DRA- (97 pitchign+)

Cubbies -110 1H

Dodgers offense dips vs lefties. I expect Imanaga's deserved ERA to regress to last season and stuff suggests that better results are coming. 

Offense
CHC - 106 DRC+ (107 v RHP)
LAD - 106 DRC+ (101 v LHP)
SP
Imanaga - 111 DRA- (113 pitching+)
May - 90 DRA- (100 pitching+)

Rangers +114

Stinky one here. A's offense dips vs lefites. Bido has a MASSIVE discrepancy with respect to deserved vs real ERA. I think the market is not factoring that in as A's are favorites vs the former champs. I dont think it's fluky how Texas is winning close games. They have good gloves and the bullpen is solid. A's defense is shaky and they're bullpen ranks 26th in ERA. 

Offense
TEX - 97 DRC+ (98 v RHP)
ATH - 103 DRC+ (96 v LHP)
SP
Corbin - 101 DRA- (100 pitching+)
Bido - 138 DRA- (95 pitching+)