Something doesn't smell right. - Baseball - Forums

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MrBIG

Joined: 05/01/2018

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Posted: 04/12/2025 1:15 AM

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Mute

#1

The Tigers have been hot lately including beating the Yankees. This line to me is fishy as f*k

Tigers beat them Friday and now Twins throw a guy with a 14.73 ERA and the Twinkies are favored?......does that make any sense to any of you?....By those odds I'm expecting, and so should the house, That the majority of the money is going to be on Detroit.

As of this writing, 80% of the money is coming in on Detroit.

I think this could be a major setup spot. Where the House entices as much money on Detroit by offering great odds at + $ and then pulls the rug out from under the public and Paddock throws a gem shutout and Twins knot the series. And scoop the money for the House.

I'm going to hold my nose and put my hard earned money on Minnesota If it stays at least 80%

I might even sprinkle a few bucks on the run line

Feel free to chime in if you have an interest in this game, whether you agree with my prognostication or not. are you riding with the House on that game?... Or the Public?

I'm riding with the House

Min -115

Min -1.5 (+170) sprinkle only, don't want to eat too much into the profit if Twins prevail but don't cover.

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MrBIG

Joined: 05/01/2018

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Posted: 04/12/2025 1:30 AM

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#2

We've had some fun through the years taking chances on the Twinkies and they got destroyed, but I really think this could be a good spot for them. Saturday Home game, Matinee practically , Books setting out the line to attract Tigers bets , and the public so far is capitulating. Paddock with a ridiculous 14.73 ERA and yet they're favored.
If I had extra money to throw to the wind I would add the under for a parlay. I think Paddock is going to bounce back and have a great game. And Correa and Buxton are going to put some RBI's on the board.

So I'm looking for Paddock to have a good game and Jobe gets shelled for at least a couple of runs by the afore mentioned Correa and Buxton. But the total stays under because I'm expecting the public to be taking the over because of the 14.73 ERA involved, but it's all a trap and he dominates and it stays under 8.5

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 1:50 AM

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#3

I'm adding Cleveland too. throwing a 8.44 ERA and yet favored by -130
Something is definitely up with that game too IMO

I like CWS +1.5 again too
Padres -169 same theory, 11.12 ERA yet favored by -169. They definitely don't want any action on SD with that line. But I think we can throw it on a parlay or two....or three....LOL
LAA +1.5 (-169) too. They let you know by the price on those last two picks. Angels have been a surprise this year early. They're only 0.5 games behind Rangers for the Division.

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 1:51 AM

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#4

That A's line is crooked AF too. I'm taking A's runline

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 8:50 AM

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#5

Wow!
Woke up and now 64% on Minnesota but line moved to -140!...What does that tell you?!
-115 was a great price
line says Twinkies all day!

ZIGGYBEATS

Joined: 11/18/2013

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:23 AM

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#6

Another interesting fact. Brock Ballou will be behind calling the game today for Tigers vs Twins . Last season the home team was just 2-9 when Ballou was behind the plate..
gl
MB

langeo

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:26 AM

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#7

ZIGGYBEATS said:
Another interesting fact. Brock Ballou will be behind calling the game today for Tigers vs Twins . Last season the home team was just 2-9 when Ballou was behind the plate..
gl
MB

Does MB stand for MasterBeats ?

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:35 AM

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#8

Wow, interesting.
Thanks Zig. I'm curious to hear what some of Pregame's other baseball minds have to think and say about this one. Bone, Midnight Titan, AJ, Norm
Throw down a take before it starts.

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:37 AM

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#9

DB would know.
I miss his picks.
He had some good ones over the years.

MrBIG

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:44 AM

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#10

I just have to reiterate how crazy this line is before it kicks off.
Minnesota 4-10 on the season with a starting pitcher's ERA at 14.73
and now they're -150 Favorites....this is lunacy....or do the books know something is about to happen.
Twins...my final answer
BOL everyone

ZIGGYBEATS

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Posted: 04/12/2025 10:48 AM

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#11

Gl BIG GET THAT $$$$$$