Continuation of this thought process for 4.10 games.

Milwaukee is my number 1 fade team with a hit to run ratio of 1 in their last 3 games. Ideally I think my thought process would be to go with Colorado but Milwaukee has 32 hits the last 3 games. Not sure I want to step in front of that because even if they have a two hit for every 1 run game today they could still score 5 or 6.

The idea is to find teams getting hits but not runs and buying or find teams not getting a ton of hits but more than expected runs.

In summary Milwaukee is over inflated but also hot enough that if they cool down a little they will still be hot.

At +200 I love the white Sox. Averaging same amount of hits as Cleveland per game on the year. Sox have 14 hits last 3 Cleveland has 9 hits last 3. Sox have 5 runs with those hits Cleveland has 6 runs with their 9 hits.

Minnesota and KC you may want to consider an over. Both getting average amount of hits last 3 games but not scoring. If you see that trend reverse and get a low total worth a look

I'll be on the Toronto Boston over. Boston hit to run ratio last 3 dead last at 4.3. they haven't been scorching the ball but have been unable to get anything really. 4 runs on 17 hits

Going with Atlanta again 27 hits 10 runs vs 24 hits 17 runs

I'm on white Sox (price is to good - Cleveland won't or shouldn't run away with this game so will be in the game with a plus 200 ticket worst case scenario.

Toronto vs Boston over 8.5

Atlanta

If your an action junkie I would make an argument to take Colorado, tb and twins vs royals over.... Just solely based on this thought exercise.

ajmallie said:

Continuation of this thought process for 4.10 games.

Milwaukee is my number 1 fade team with a hit to run ratio of 1 in their last 3 games. Ideally I think my thought process would be to go with Colorado but Milwaukee has 32 hits the last 3 games. Not sure I want to step in front of that because even if they have a two hit for every 1 run game today they could still score 5 or 6.

The idea is to find teams getting hits but not runs and buying or find teams not getting a ton of hits but more than expected runs.

In summary Milwaukee is over inflated but also hot enough that if they cool down a little they will still be hot.

At +200 I love the white Sox. Averaging same amount of hits as Cleveland per game on the year. Sox have 14 hits last 3 Cleveland has 9 hits last 3. Sox have 5 runs with those hits Cleveland has 6 runs with their 9 hits.

Minnesota and KC you may want to consider an over. Both getting average amount of hits last 3 games but not scoring. If you see that trend reverse and get a low total worth a look

I'll be on the Toronto Boston over. Boston hit to run ratio last 3 dead last at 4.3. they haven't been scorching the ball but have been unable to get anything really. 4 runs on 17 hits

Going with Atlanta again 27 hits 10 runs vs 24 hits 17 runs

As far as the Milwaukee/Colorado series, as a Brewers' fan watching these games I have had my eyes opened. The Rockies are a REALLY, REALLY BAD team.

Quinn Priester making his 1st start for the Brewers is the wildcard today.

Nice work AJ.

Combined 6-2

Nice, appreciate it

KC Vs Cleveland not enough to have an opinion. Cleveland 1.6 ratio KC 2.59 but neither team is hitting enough recently to put much on this in my opinion.

Pitt vs Cincy not enough to have an opinion

ATL and TB are getting hits....small lean to over

Giants vs yankees similar to atl and TB.....getting hits but not scoring. Small lean to over

Toronto vs baltimore no opinion

Miami vs Nats - Small lean to Miami ratio is 2.4 vs 1.32 both teams have similar amounts of hits last 3 games......Nats played dodgers really well

No opinion Boston and white sox

No opinion Houston and Angels

Det vs Minn small lean Minnesota. Like the ratio but Minnesota bats our cold and I just don't want to take the chance. Gonna be a little more selective with this thought experiment

AJ, Thanks for for sharing this and looking fwd to tomorrow's selections if there is any.