So I'm taking my thought process for this game and expanding it.
I calculated all 30 teams hit to run ratios YTD, and last 3 games. The ones with the lowest (Cubs 1.20 YTD and 1.17 Iast 3 would be the ones I deem most inflated. The ones with the highest Cincinnati and Yankees both over 3.5 hits per run last 3 games I would view as being under valued.
With this thought process I'm not saying go out and bet all these but the ones I think have value.
Yankees are a buy low in my eyes (29th hit to run ratio last 3)
Detroit is a sell in my eyes (4th hit to run ratio last 3)
Cubs sell (1st in ratio last 3) vs rangers slight buy (21 in ratio last 3)
Cincy and sf are 2 of the 3 worst ratios in the last 3 games in the league. If you believe that trend will continue hammer the under or if you believe vice versa go over.... I'm not gonna touch it both though.
White Sox are buy (27 in ratio)
Love Tampa Bay (25 in ratio) vs Angels (2 in ratio) tb same amount of hits as Angels last 3 games but runs are 20 to 10 Angels advantage.