For What It's Worth: September 4 Card - Baseball - Forums

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RFTL51

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Posted: 09/04/2024 11:52 AM

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For what it’s worth, I absolutely detest Clay Holmes. He did it again last night. Holmes blew his league-leading 11^th save last night. That’s three more than Jalen Beeks who in the 2^nd highest with 8, and Holmes accomplished than in 5.1 fewer innings than Beeks. Last night, Holmes was summoned to pitch the bottom of the 9^th. After the first batter he faced to ground out, Holes gave up a since, 2 walks and a bases-loaded HR to turn a 4-3 lead into a 7-4 loss. Clay Holmes is nothing but a piece of human excrement and the fact that he is still the Yankees’ closer tells me that heads should roll. Specifically, the head of GM Brian Cashman, who decided that the Yanks bullpen was lust fine and did nothing at the trade deadline to replace Holmes or strengthen the Yanks crappy pen, and the head of manager Aaron Boone who keeps trotting this clown out with games on the line.

Fortunately, the rest of my parlay card did pretty well. The Braves got another great outing from Chris Sale who tossed 7 scoreless innings and struck out 9 to win both their 1st 5 and full games. The Pirates won their 1^st 5 behind 5 scoreless innings from rookie sensation Paul Skenes and the Orioles and Dodgers both won their full games. The Mariners also pushed their 1st 5. 6I finished the day +14.60 units. That now leaves me +22.02 units for the 2024 season. I’ll be the first to admit that’s not great, but compared to where I was just a few days ago, I’ll damned sure take it.

For the record, we still have just one MLB team that is playing .600 ball, and that’s the Dodgers, who seem to be playing their best ball of the season\.

We have a full slate of games today. Here’s my extensive Wednesday card.

ML Parlays	Team #1	Team #2	Odds	Units

	BALT 1st 5 ML	BALT ML	-129	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	ATL 1st 5 ML	-113	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	ATL ML	-117	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	CHI C 1st 5 ML	106	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	CHI C ML	104	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	LAD ML	197	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	SD ML	107	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	133	2
	BALT 1st 5 ML	ARIZ ML	135	2
	BALT ML	ATL 1st 5 ML	-119	2
	BALT ML	ATL ML	-124	2
	BALT ML	CHI C 1st 5 ML	100	2
	BALT ML	CHI C ML	-102	2
	BALT ML	LAD ML	102	2
	BALT ML	SD ML	102	2
	BALT ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	127	2
	BALT ML	ARIZ ML	128	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	ATL ML	-109	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	CHI C 1st 5 ML	113	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	CHI C ML	111	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	LAD ML	115	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	SD ML	115
	ATL 1st 5 ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	142	2
	ATL 1st 5 ML	ARIZ ML	142	2
	ATL ML	CHI C 1st 5 ML	109	2
	ATL ML	CHI C ML	107	2
	ATL ML	LAD ML	111	2
	ATL ML	SD ML	111	2
	ATL ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	137	2
	ATL ML	ARIZ ML	238	2
	CHI C 1st 5 ML	CHI C ML	130	2
	CHI C 1st 5 ML	LAD ML	134	2
	CHI C 1st 5 ML	SD ML	134	2
	CHI C 1st 5 ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	164	2
	CHI C 1st 5 ML	ARIZ ML	164	2
	CHI C ML	LAD ML	132	2
	CHI C ML	SD ML	132	2
	CHI C ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	161	2
	CHI C ML	ARIZ ML	162	2
	LAD ML	SD ML	136	2
	LAD ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	165	2
	LAD ML	ARIZ ML	166	2
	SD ML	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	165	2
	SD ML	ARIZ ML	166	2
	ARIZ 1st 5 ML	ARIZ ML	200	2
				2
Sides	PHIL ML		-121	2
	HOU 1st 5 RL		100	2
	HOU ML		-133	2

Fall is here and the NFL regular season is just one day away. Here are my thoughts on today’s MLB games.

PHIL @ TOR

The Phils hung on for a 10-9 win over the Blue Jays in the first game of this series. They now lead the Braves by 7 games in the NL East with just 24 left to play. The Jays have no realistic shout in the AL East and are barely alive in the AL wild card race, 8 games behind the Royals with only 22 left to play.

Starting Pitchers

3:07		GS+	GS-	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
PHIL	Sanchez - L (9-9)	(14/26)	(11/26)	1.28	3.49	3.63	2.94	3.16	3.55	0.294	0.298	19.6%	5.7%
TOR	Francis - R (8-3)	(6/9)	(3/9)	0.99	3.66	3.58	4.26	4.02	3.76	0.278	0.296	24.0%	6.1%

Edge – None

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
PHIL	25	21	32	18	72.0%	15	0.59	14	0.233	16	1.25	14	3.96	15	25.9%	2	8.4%	10
TOR	21	21	35	18	69.9%	21	0.62	26	0.239	20	1.32	22	4.73	28	20.7%	27	9.2%	20

Edge – PHIL

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
PHIL	4.85	6	0.257	4	0.323	7	107	9	0.164	12	8.5%	8	11.4	4	39.7%	10	21.9%	14
TOR	4.26	18	0.241	16	0.309	15	102	13	0.154	17	8.5%	8	-11.6	28	36.5%	26	20.2%	7

Edge – PHIL

Conclusion: The Blue Jays are suddenly playing their best ball of the season, but the Phils are still better than the Jays. They sre the much better hitting team and while I don’t really trust the Phils’ pen, it is statistically better than the Jays pen. That leaves the two starting pitchers and that’s a tough call. Cristopher Sanchez has a rock sold stat profile. However, Bowden Francis is pitching incredibly well. The 28-year-old righty has now tossed at least 7 innings of one-run ball in each of his last four outings, winning all of them with a robust 32/3 K:BB ratio.

I’m passing on a 1^st 5 and betting on the better team to just win the game.

Pick – PHIL ML in a side bet

CHI WS @ BALT

To no one’s surprise, the Orioles again mopped the floor with the White Sox in a 9-0 shutout win last night. What was surprising was 7.1 scoreless innings delivered by young Cade Povich, who has struggled big time this season. With this win and the Yankees loss to the Rangers, the Orioles now lead the Yanks by a half a game in the hotly contested AL East. The 109-loss White Sox are the worst team in baseball, 20.5 games behind the Rockies, the 2^nd worst team.

Starting Pitchers

6:35	SP	GS+	GS-	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
CHI WS	Cannon - R (2-9)	(7/16)	(9/16)	1.41	4.70	4.60	4.80	4.80	4.91	0.343	0.332	16.0%	7.7%
BALT	Suarez - R (7-4)	(12/19)	(7/29)	1.27	3.14	4.09	3.62	4.52	4.60	0.300	0.316	18.6%	7.6%

Edge – BALT

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
CHI WS	11	44	18	30	68.7%	26	0.47	29	0.258	29	1.53	29	4.97	29	22.8%	20	11.4%	30
BALT	26	20	42	19	69.1%	24	0.41	14	0.218	4	1.18	3	4.01	18	24.2%	10	8.8%	16

Edge – BALT, big

Offenses

CHI WS	3.02	30	0.219	29	0.271	30	73	30	0.120	30	6.8%	29	-6.4	20	35.3%	29	24.1%	22
BALT	5.04	3	0.251	10	0.326	4	115	2	0.191	1	7.8%	19	1.2	15	42.6%	1	22.3%	15

Edge – BALT, huge

Conclusion: The O’s are much better than the White Sox. Of course, the entire league is much better than the White Sox. The White Sox won’t lose every game they have left, will they?

The O’s are one of the best hitting teams in the league, while the White Sox are the worst. The O’s don’t have a good bullpen, but the White Sox have one of, if not the worst bullpen in baseball. As for the two starting pitchers, Albert Suarez’s stat profile is clearly better than Jonathan Cannon’s, across the board.

Pick – BALT 1^st 5 and full game MLs in a series of parlays

HOU @ CIN

After a day off yesterday, these teams will resume their series tonight at Great American. The Reds beat the Asros 5-3 to win the first game of this series on Monday. The Astros now lead he Mariners by 6.5 games in the AL West, while Reds, who have no shot at the playoffs this season, are just playing out the string and looking to next season.

Starting Pitchers

6:40

SP

GS+

GS-

WHIP

ERA

xERA

FIP

xFIP

SIERA

wOBA

xwOBA

K%

BB%

HOU

Arrighetti - R (7-11)

(13/25)

(8/24)

1.38

4.63

3.82

4.05

4.01

3.90

0.322

0.305

28.0%

10.6%

CIN

Martinez - R )6-6)

(2/11_

(9/11_

1.13

3.78

3.53

3.64

4.07

3.93

0.303

0.294

10.1%

3.1%

Edge – HOU, slight

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%
HOU	25	23	35	22	76.4%	3	0.54	4	0.221	5	1.23	9	3.55	4	24.8%	7	9.7%
CIN	23	30	28	14	73.2%	8	0.35	8	0.235	17	1.24	11	3.94	14	24.2%	10	8.2%

Edge – HOU

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
HOU	4.57	12	0.261	3	0.320	11	110	7	0.158	13	7.1%	27	-9.5	27	38.9%	13	19.4%	3
CIN	4.47	15	0.232	26	0.307	17	90	25	0.166	9	8.3%	12	13.9	1	36.5%	26	24.4%	23

Edge – HOU, but close

Conclusion: The Astros should be better than the Reds. They are the better hitting team, but that’s reasonably close. They also have the statistically. That leaves the two starting pitchers, and he Astros should have an edge there as well. 24-year-oldSpencer Arrighetti was on a tear in August, posting a stellar 0.90 WHIP and 1.95 ERA with a sparkling 13.11 K/9 in 32.1 August innings (5 starts). Arrighetti has noe delivered 3 double-digit K outings in August while lowering his ERA by almost a full run. Nick Martinez’s stats look solid on paper, but don’t let that fool you. His best work has been out of the bullpen. As a started, Martinez has struggled, posting a 5.59 ERA with a .356 wOBA against. He has given up 15 runs (14 earned) in his last four starts (18.2 innings)..

Pick – HOU 1^st 5 RL and full game ML in side bets

COL @ ATL

The Braves shut out the Rockies 3-0 last night behind another stellar outing from Chris Sale. They still trail the Phils by 7 games in the NL East, but are still hanging on to the 3^rd and final NL wild card spot, just a half a game ahead of the Mets.

Starting Pitchers

7:20	SP	GS+	GS-	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
COL	Blalock - (1-1)	(2/4)	(2/4)	1.62	4.98	5.09	4.47	5.52	5.41	0.348	0.347	13.9%	8.9%
ATL	Morton - R (7-7)	(13/25)	(12/25)	1.31	4.26	4.60	4.63	4.01	4.01	0.337	0.332	24.0%	8.9%

Edge – ATL

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
COL	28	25	31	24	66.3%	29	0.47	30	0.281	30	1.56	30	5.53	30	18.8%	30	9.9%	24
ATL	28	24	35	17	75.7%	4	0.49	3	0.232	15	1.19	7	3.31	3	25.5%	5	7.5%	2

Edge – ATL, big

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
COL	4.25	19	0.245	14	0.307	17	83	29	0.156	15	7.5%	25	-7.9	23	39.4%	11	26.1%	29
ATL	4.29	16	0.241	16	0.312	13	98	17	0.172	7	7.8%	19	-8.5	25	42.4%	2	21.7%	12

Edge - ATL

Conclusion: Before we get started, lets get one thing straight. The Rockies, who are an almost decent 32-37 when playing at Coors, are an atrocious 19-51 when playing away from Coors. The Braves, who have too often struggled to score runs this season, are still the much better hitting team here. While the Rockies average a lusty 5.01 runs per game at Coors, that number drops to a lousy 3.54 when on the road. Only the Marlins and White Sox average less. The Braves has a decent bullpen, while the Rockies pen is garbage. That brings is to the two starting pitchers and While Charlie Morton is no Chris Sale, his stat profile is still much better than Bradley Blalock.

I’m again fading the Rockies away from Coors and facing a much better team

Pick – ATL 1^st 5 and full game MLSs in a series of parlays

PITT @ CHI C

The Pirates beat the Cubs 5-0 last night behind yet another stellar outing from rookie sensation Paul Skenes, taking the first two games of this series. Although they have no shot at the playoffs, the Pirates are still playing hard. The Cubs won’t catch the Brewers in the NL Central, but they are still in the NL wild race, 4.5 games behind the Braves.

Starting Pitchers

7:40

SP

GS+

GS-

WHIP

ERA

xERA

FIP

xFIP

SIERA

wOBA

xwOBA

K%

BB%

PITT

German - R (0-0)

(1/1)

(0-1)

CHI C

Imanaga - L (11-3)

(18/25)

(5/25)

1.05

3.14

3.58

3.73

3.55

0.284

0.296

25.0%

3.9%

Edge – PITT, big

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
PITT	28	30	33	24	66.9%	28	0.47	27	0.248	24	1.39	27	4.64	27	23.1%	17	9.6%	22
CHI C	33	29	31	23	73.3%	7	0.46	6	0.227	11	1.29	19	3.71	7	24.8%	7	10.1%	26

Edge – CHI C

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
PITT	4.22	20	0.236	23	0.296	27	86	27	0.137	27	7.9%	17	4.7	11	40.1%	7	24.7%	26
CHI C	4.53	14	0.240	19	0.310	14	100	14	0.154	17	8.9%	5	11.8	3	37.9%	20	22.6%	16

Edge – CHI C

Conclusion: Last night, the Cubs had to deal with rookie phenom Paul Skenes. Tonight they get to face Domingo German. At least temporarily, the Pirates will expand the rotation to a six men, with the addition of German building in an additional day of rest between starts for rookies Skenes and Jared Jones. German did tossed six scoreless innings against the Rangers in his only other start for the Pirates on Aug. 21, but he worked in long relief in his last two appearances, giving up 10 runs on 11 hits and 5 walks over 5.2 innings. The Pirates, on the other hand, won’t have the luxery of facing Kyle Hendricks tonight. Instead they get the Cubs best pitcher Shota Imanaga and his stat profile is outstanding. The Cubs are also the better hitting team and has the statistically better bullpen.

Pick – CHI C 1^st 5 and full game MLs in a series of parlays

LAD @ LAA

The Dodgers beat the Angels 6-2 last night and got a rare strong outing from Walker Buehler in the first game of this series. They now lead the Padres by 5.5 games in the NL West. The Angels have no shot at the playoffs and are just playing out the string.

Starting Pitchers

9:38	SP	GS+	GS -	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
LAD	Miller -R (2-3)	(2-10)	(8/10)	1.66	7.25	6.54	6.43	4.57	4.77	0.393	0.386	20.1%	11.5%
LAA	Canning - R (4-12)	(9/26)	(16/26)	1.39	5.19	4.88	5.17	4.76	4.85	0.340	0.341	17.1%	8.4%

Edge – Who the hell knows!

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
LAA	27	18	33	15	71.4%	18	0.45	18	0.213	2	1.24	11	4.04	19	22.3%	22	10.8%	28
LAD	37	22	45	25	74.3%	5	0.51	5	0.221	5	1.18	3	3.56	5	23.2%	16	8.6%	12

Edge – LAD

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
LAD	5.04	4	0.253	7	0.331	3	114	3	0.184	3	9.5%	3	6.5	8	40.9%	5	25.1%	28
LAA	3.89	27	0.230	27	0.297	25	89	26	0.142	24	8.0%	15	-12.4	29	37.0%	23	23.2%	19

Edge – LAD, big

The Dodgers are a lot better than the Angels and they showed it last night. They hit better and they have the better bullpen. However, Bobby Miller, who recently revealed that he's been dealing with a left knee issue, has struggled and his stat profile is awful. Griffin Canning hasn’t been much better. His stat profile isn’t very good either. I don’t trust either of these guys so the 1^st 5 is a pass, bu, the Dodgers should win this one with their bats.

Pick – LADF ML in a series of parlays

DET @ SD

Both of these teams had yesterday off after the Padres beat the Tigers 3-0 on Monday behind yet another strong outing from Joe Musgrove. The Padres trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West and currently hold the top NL wild card spot. The Tigers won’t catch the Guardians in the AL Central, but are still alive in the AL wild card race, 4.5 games behind the Royals.

Starting Pitchers

9:40	SP	GS+	GS-	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
DET	Montero - R (4-6)	(6/12)	(6/12)	1.35	5.17	5.05	5.10	4.36	4.48	0.346	0.346	19.9%	8.2%
SD	Darvish - R (4-3)	(7/11)	(4/11)	1.07	3.20	3.60	3.54	3.93	3.95	0.275	0.297	23.1%	6.6%

Edge – SD

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
DET	34	32	33	20	70.7%	19	0.44	4	0.225	10	1.17	2	3.81	11	21.8%	24	7.5%	2
SD	35	15	36	20	72.3%	13	0.47	7	0.240	22	1.24	11	3.86	13	25.1%	6	7.5%	2

Edge – SD, but close

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
SD	4.76	8	0.265	1	0.324	6	111	5	0.153	20	7.6%	24	5.2	10	38.2%	19	17.4%	1
DET	4.19	22	0.233	25	0.298	24	93	22	0.155	16	7.5%	25	4.2	12	37.7%	21	23.9%	21

Edge – SD

Conclusion: The Padres should be better than the Tigers. They are the better hitting team and they have the better bullpen, The stats don’t necessarilw show that, but according to Basewinners’ metrics, the Padres bullpen was the best in baseball in the month of August , after all their trade deadline acquisitions. As for the two starting pitchers, Yu Darvish hasn't pitched for the Padres since May 29, but after throwing 66 pitches in a simulated game on Friday and then completing a bullpen session on Monday, he was pronounced ready. Keider Montero’s stat profile isn’t very impressive, but he’s survived.

I have no idea what we’ll get from Darvish tonight, so I’ll pass on the 1^st 5 and bet the better team, the Padres, to just win the game.

Pick – SD ML in a series of parlays

ARIZ @ SF

The Diamondbacks hung on for an 8-7 win over the Giant last night in the first game of this series. They now trail the Dodgers by 6 games on the NL West, but currently hold the 2^nd NL wild card spot. The Giants are still mathematically alive in the NL wild card race, 7.5 games behind the Braves, but any teams that loses two straight to the Marlins, like the Giants did over the weekend, probably doesn’t deserve to male the playoffs.

Starting Pitchers

9:45	SP	GS+	GS-	WHIP	ERA	xERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	wOBA	xwOBA	K%	BB%
ARIZ	Gallen - R (10-6)	(15/28)	(8/23)	1.31	3.87	4.12	3.36	3.79	4.05	0.309	0.316	20.0%	8.4%
SF	Birdsong - R (3-4)	(6/11)	(5/11)	1.43	5.14	4.66	5.14	4.43	4.36	0.336	0.335	27.9%	14.0%

Edge – ARIZ

Bullpens

Team	W	L	SV	BS	LOB%	Rk	R/IP	Rk	AVG	Rk	WHIP	Rk	ERA	Rk	K%	Rk	BB%	Rk
ARIZ	32	26	35	22	72.6%	10	0.49	14	0.247	23	1.34	24	4.05	20	20.6%	28	8.9%	17
SF	34	27	29	17	71.5%	17	0.46	18	0.248	24	1.31	21	4.08	21	23.9%	13	8.2%	7

Edge – None

Offenses

Team	RPG	Rk	AVG	Rk	wOBA	Rk	wRC+	Rk	ISO	Rk	BB%	Rk	BsR	Rk	HH%	Rk	K%	Rk
ARIZ	5.45	1	0.262	2	0.334	2	113	4	0.174	5	8.9%	5	10.7	5	38.9%	13	19.9%	5
SF	4.27	17	0.240	19	0.305	21	97	19	0.152	21	8.4%	11	0.0	16	38.7%	15	23.4%	20

Edge – ARIZ big

Conclusion: The Diamondbacks have most of the edges in this one. Most prominent among them is that they are the much better hitting team here. The Dbacks lead the league in runs per game and rank 2^nd in BA and wOBAm and 4^th in wRC+. The Giants , on the other hand, possess an offense that rans a little lower than league average. Neither bullpen is very good. That leaves the two starting pitchers and while Zac Gallen has not pitched as well as he has in recent seasons, he has still been better than Hayden Birsong, who can generate Ks, but that’s about it for positives.

The Dbacks should win this one with their bat and Gallen should be better than Birdsong.

Pick – ARIZ 1^st 5 and full game MLs in a series of parlays

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Top Gun

Joined: 11/08/2018

Posts: 4642

All American

3000 - 4999 Posts

Posted: 09/04/2024 12:15 PM

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#2

That card should produce some profits RFTL

padrick57

Joined: 11/11/2014

Posts: 3002

All American

3000 - 4999 Posts

Posted: 09/04/2024 1:19 PM

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#3

RF, card looks great. Should the Yanks trade Clay Holmes?

padrick57

Joined: 11/11/2014

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Posted: 09/04/2024 1:19 PM

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#4

RF, card looks great. Should the Yanks trade Clay Holmes?

RPhilMan1

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Posted: 09/04/2024 1:29 PM

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#5

NYY ML and the under looked great and then Holmes stepped on the mound. He’s turning into a Kimbrel. Can’t throw strikes and gets hit hard.

Best of luck tonight, my friend.

RFTL51

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Posted: 09/04/2024 3:35 PM

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#6

Hi Top Gun,
I sure hope you're right about that. They all look good when I write them. BTW, I know you stayed away, but your buddy "Free Money Freeland" came through for me. Big odds but still cahd.
Have a great evening my friend.

RFTL51

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Posted: 09/04/2024 3:38 PM

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#7

Hi Padrick,
Thanks for the kind words on the card. I just hope that you;re right about that. As for trading Holmes, who would want him? The Yanks blew it at the trade deadline by doing nothing. They should have made the moves that the Padres did.
Have a great evening my friend.

RFTL51

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Posted: 09/04/2024 3:41 PM

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#8

Hi RPHIL,
The problem is that the Yanks had a vastly overinflaterd sense of Holmes value. He posses than 90+ MPH slider and freat spin rates, but he's a pitch to contact type who foesn't generate Ks and lacks command. He never should have been a closer.
BOL my friend.

padrick57

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Posted: 09/04/2024 9:14 PM

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#9

RF, saw this on CBSports.com:

Yankees will get 'creative' with closer role after Clay Holmes' latest blown save, says manager Aaron Boone

Boone also noted that Holmes would be an option. Some of the other choices:

Jake Cousins - He has one career save and has now allowed a run in three straight appearances.
Luke Weaver - He gave up two runs in an inning on Monday, though he had eight straight scoreless outings before that.
Tommy Kahnle - On Sunday, he allowed three runs on three hits while getting just one out. He was also responsible for a run on Tuesday.
Otherwise he might be a fine option.
Mark Leiter Jr. - The trade deadline acquisition has a 6.08 ERA since joining the Yankees.
Tim Hill - The lanky lefty was bad on Monday, but that was the only time he allowed a run in his last nine outings.
Tim Mayza - He's had a 1-2-3 outing in each of his last two appearances, but before that he allowed five runs on seven hits in his six Yankees appearances.

Basically, Boone doesn't have any great options right now. It seems like Kahnle, Hill and Weaver could be a decent combo to try.

padrick57

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Posted: 09/04/2024 9:14 PM

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#10

RF, Boone will go with Hill and Weaver.

RFTL51

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Posted: 09/05/2024 4:58 AM

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#11

Hi Padrick,
Thanks for sharing. It is appreiated. I live in Northern NJ so we get innundated with NY sports talk, Yankees, Mets, Giant, Jets etc. Boone and Cashman are getting tmercilessly ripped by the media. The Yanks have no good options.
Luke Weaver is an option. His stat profile is decent with a 27.1% K rate, which is better than Holmes' and a comparable 7.9% walk rate, but he has never closed. Tim Hill is carrying a poor 10.1% K rate.
Closers need to generate Ks and Holmes doesn't.
I still maontain that the Yanks coiuld have and should have done wat the Padres did at the trade deadline. From early Spring, I sw this pen's weakness. I find it hard to believe than Cashman didn't.
BOL my friend