DET @ SF
The Tigers head to San Francisco to open a series with the Giants, after taking two of three from the Mariners in Seattle, but losing 4-3 last night. They are now 12 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and 9 games out in the AL wild card race with no realistic way to get to the postseason.
The Giants took two of three from the Nats in DC including a 9-5 win yesterday. They now still trail the Dodgers by 8 games in the NL West, but are just 3 games out in the wacky NL wild card race.
Starting Pitchers
|
10:15
|
|
GS+
|
GS-
|
WHIP
|
ERA
|
xERA
|
FIP
|
xFIP
|
SIERA
|
wOBA
|
xwOBA
|
K%
|
BB%
|
|
DET
|
Maeda - R (2-5)
|
(5/16)
|
(11/16)
|
1.50
|
6.75
|
4.85
|
5.44
|
4.68
|
4,54
|
0.377
|
0.341
|
18.3%
|
6.9%
|
|
SF
|
Ray - L (2-1)
|
(2/3)
|
(1/3)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.377
|
|
|
|
Edge – SF
Bullpens
N/A – this is a 1st 5 only bet
Offenses
|
Team
|
RPG
|
Rk
|
wOBA
|
Rk
|
wRC+
|
Rk
|
ISO
|
Rk
|
BB%
|
Rk
|
HH%
|
Rk
|
Bar%
|
Rk
|
K%
|
Rk
|
|
DET
|
4.16
|
22
|
0.292
|
28
|
87
|
26
|
0.149
|
20
|
7.5%
|
25
|
37.4%
|
21
|
7.3%
|
19
|
23.3%
|
20
|
|
SF
|
4.41
|
15
|
0.312
|
14
|
104
|
12
|
0.153
|
16
|
8.8%
|
6
|
39.0%
|
15
|
8.2%
|
11
|
22.8%
|
19
|
Edge – SF
Conclusion: The Giants are the better hitting team and they have the better starting pitcher. Kenta Maeda has been an unmitigated disaster for the Tigers with a terrible stat profile.By contrast, Robbie Ray has only started 3 game since returning form Tommy John Surgery, but two of his three starts have grded as above average. He has given up 7 runs on 10 hits and 6 walks over 14.1 innings with 21 Ks. While he has struggled some with his command, his velocity is still there and 21 Ks in just over 14 innings is impressive.
I am adding the Giants 1st 5 to my parlay card and pairing it with everything else except the Twins, since that game is already over.
Pick – SF 1st 5 ML in a series of parlays