For what it’s worth, yesterday was a very good day. I used 5 team (7 sides) in a round robin of parlays, The Rays 1st 5, the Padres 1st 5 and full games, the Dodgers full game, the Astros full games, the Diamondbacks 1st 5 and the Giants 1st 5 and full games. I also had side bets on the Guardians 1st 5 and the under in both the PHIL/Mets game and the MIL/STL game.
My only loser was the Padres full game. The Padres took an early 3-0 lead and looked like they would blow out the Nats again, but they never actually scored again. They had a total of 12 runners in scoring position, but could only plate 2 of them. Fortunately for me, the Nats didn’t score at all until the bottom of the 6th when they tied the game at 3, so I at last cashed with my Padres 1st 5 leg of my parlay card. The Padres have no one to blame but themselves. They had all the chances in the world and squandered almost all of them.
As mentioned, I also pushed with my side bet on the Guardians 1st 5 ML, but won everything else. I finished the day+17.51 units, leaving me +21.54 units for the season. All that work and I’m still basically even 12 days into August.
This season continues to be a frustrating one for me. I’ve never had such a volatile season before. Today is another day and maybe things are looking up some. I still have time to turn this around. There are a few games that I really like, so I’m focusing my parlay card on four teams, the Padres, the Dodgers, the Astros and the Giants. I’m kind of bucking a trend in that three of the four, the Dodgers, the Astros and the Giants are all going for a sweep today, and that spot has been prone to upsets. However those teams are much better than their opponents, so I’ll risk it despite the spot. I again took the precaution of dropping all my plays to 1 unit. Now, I’ll just hope for the best.
This is A Sunday and it is my family day, so all you get is my pick and a brief explanation. Some things are ,ore important and family is at the top of that list. Here is today’s card
ML Parlays
|
Team 1
|
Tean 2
|
Odds
|
Units
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
LAD 1st 5
|
115
|
1
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
LAD full game
|
-101
|
1
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
HTN 1st 5
|
-107
|
1
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
HTN full game
|
-107
|
1
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
SF 1st 5
|
100
|
1
|
|
SD 1st 5
|
SF full game
|
-105
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
LAD 1st 5
|
115
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
LAD full game
|
-101
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
HTN 1st 5
|
-108
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
HTN full game
|
-108
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
SF 1st 5
|
100
|
1
|
|
SD full game
|
SF full game
|
-104
|
1
|
|
LAD 1st 5
|
HTN 1st 5
|
1167
|
1
|
|
LAD 1st 5
|
HTN full game
|
117
|
1
|
|
LAD 1st 5
|
SF 1st 5
|
125
|
1
|
|
LAD 1st 5
|
SF full game
|
119
|
1
|
|
LAD full game
|
HTN 1st 5
|
101
|
1
|
|
LAD full game
|
HTN full game
|
101
|
1
|
|
LAD full game
|
SF 1st 5
|
108
|
1
|
|
LAD full game
|
SF full game
|
105
|
1
|
|
HTN 1st 5
|
SF 1st 5
|
101
|
1
|
|
HTN 1st 5
|
SF full game
|
-104
|
1
|
|
HTN full game
|
SF 1st 5
|
101
|
1
|
|
HTN full game
|
SF full game
|
-104
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sides
|
PHIL 1st 5 ML
|
|
-100
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Totals
|
PHIL @ NYM 1st 5 U 3.5
|
|
-105
|
1
|
|
CLEV @ TOR U 3.5
|
|
-100
|
1,
|
Here is the first game. The other will follow shortly.
SD @ WASH
Starting Pitchers: Blake Snell v Paola Espino
The Padres had no business losing yesterday, but tey did. To me that makes this a really good spot for them. Offensively, despite all their trade deadline moves, the Padres stats say that they are still mediocre, but that just might be changing and even if still true, that still makes them clearly better than the offensively challenged Nats. The same analysis basically applies to the two bullpens. The numbers say that the Padres have a better than average unit, while the Nats pen rates as well below average. That brings us to the two starting pitchers and that’s not close.
Snell has reeled off four freat starts in a row, giving up just 1 run in three of them and 0 in the 4th. Espinoo has twice as many bad starts (8) as good ones 3 and his number are mostly lousy
Pick – SD 1st 5 and full gane MLs in a series of parlay.
More coming shortly